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Política·Parciales

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Política·Parciales

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

André Carson 92%

George Hornedo 4.0%

Destiny Scott Wells 3.1%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

André Carson 92%

George Hornedo 4.0%

Destiny Scott Wells 3.1%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

André Carson

$761 Vol.

92%

George Hornedo

$0 Vol.

4%

Destiny Scott Wells

$0 Vol.

3%

Denise Paul Hatch

$858 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. André Carson's 91.5% implied probability in the IN-07 Democratic primary reflects his entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic, minority-majority Indianapolis district, where he has secured lopsided victories—including over 85% in 2024—bolstered by superior name recognition, fundraising, and institutional support since 2008. Recent challenger filings, such as Destiny Wells on February 6 and George Hornedo's campaign pitch to "shake up" local politics highlighted in late March IndyStar profiles, have drawn media attention via the "Meet the Candidates" series but shown no momentum shift absent polls or endorsements eroding Carson's lead ahead of the May 5 primary. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal hitting Carson, a high-profile defection, or one challenger's unexpected fundraising surge during early voting.

Incumbent Rep. André Carson's 91.5% implied probability in the IN-07 Democratic primary reflects his entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic, minority-majority Indianapolis district, where he has secured lopsided victories—including over 85% in 2024—bolstered by superior name recognition, fundraising, and institutional support since 2008. Recent challenger filings, such as Destiny Wells on February 6 and George Hornedo's campaign pitch to "shake up" local politics highlighted in late March IndyStar profiles, have drawn media attention via the "Meet the Candidates" series but shown no momentum shift absent polls or endorsements eroding Carson's lead ahead of the May 5 primary. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal hitting Carson, a high-profile defection, or one challenger's unexpected fundraising surge during early voting.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. André Carson's 91.5% implied probability in the IN-07 Democratic primary reflects his entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic, minority-majority Indianapolis district, where he has secured lopsided victories—including over 85% in 2024—bolstered by superior name recognition, fundraising, and institutional support since 2008. Recent challenger filings, such as Destiny Wells on February 6 and George Hornedo's campaign pitch to "shake up" local politics highlighted in late March IndyStar profiles, have drawn media attention via the "Meet the Candidates" series but shown no momentum shift absent polls or endorsements eroding Carson's lead ahead of the May 5 primary. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal hitting Carson, a high-profile defection, or one challenger's unexpected fundraising surge during early voting.

Incumbent Rep. André Carson's 91.5% implied probability in the IN-07 Democratic primary reflects his entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic, minority-majority Indianapolis district, where he has secured lopsided victories—including over 85% in 2024—bolstered by superior name recognition, fundraising, and institutional support since 2008. Recent challenger filings, such as Destiny Wells on February 6 and George Hornedo's campaign pitch to "shake up" local politics highlighted in late March IndyStar profiles, have drawn media attention via the "Meet the Candidates" series but shown no momentum shift absent polls or endorsements eroding Carson's lead ahead of the May 5 primary. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal hitting Carson, a high-profile defection, or one challenger's unexpected fundraising surge during early voting.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "André Carson" con 92%, seguido de "George Hornedo" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es "André Carson" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "George Hornedo" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.