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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho

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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Republicano

$4,686 Vol.

91%

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Demócrata

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo's substantial polling leads over Democratic challenger Gary Smith—typically 55% to 28% in recent surveys—drive the 90.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in Idaho's U.S. Senate race. The state's deep Republican lean (R+18 partisan voter index), overwhelming GOP registration edge, and history of uninterrupted Republican Senate control since 1998 solidify this positioning, unchanged by any major developments in the past 30 days following Crapo's unchallenged primary win. With the November 5 general election approaching, an upset would demand unprecedented shifts like a late scandal, Crapo's health issues, or anomalous Democratic turnout in this non-competitive race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$4,686
Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo's substantial polling leads over Democratic challenger Gary Smith—typically 55% to 28% in recent surveys—drive the 90.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in Idaho's U.S. Senate race. The state's deep Republican lean (R+18 partisan voter index), overwhelming GOP registration edge, and history of uninterrupted Republican Senate control since 1998 solidify this positioning, unchanged by any major developments in the past 30 days following Crapo's unchallenged primary win. With the November 5 general election approaching, an upset would demand unprecedented shifts like a late scandal, Crapo's health issues, or anomalous Democratic turnout in this non-competitive race.

Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo's substantial polling leads over Democratic challenger Gary Smith—typically 55% to 28% in recent surveys—drive the 90.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in Idaho's U.S. Senate race. The state's deep Republican lean (R+18 partisan voter index), overwhelming GOP registration edge, and history of uninterrupted Republican Senate control since 1998 solidify this positioning, unchanged by any major developments in the past 30 days following Crapo's unchallenged primary win. With the November 5 general election approaching, an upset would demand unprecedented shifts like a late scandal, Crapo's health issues, or anomalous Democratic turnout in this non-competitive race.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 91%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Oct 13, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho" es "Republicano" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.