Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes at 33.5% for 15 seconds or more and 27% for 10–15 seconds, reflecting the 27-second grip during Trump and Xi's October 2025 Busan summit, which signaled rapport amid trade talks. Recent letter exchanges, where Xi denied arming Iran per Trump's statements, alongside White House confirmation of the May 14–15 Beijing summit despite multiple Iran war delays, sustain optimism for a firm greeting as a diplomatic signal. The tight race persists due to lingering US-China tensions over tariffs and regional conflicts, balanced against historical precedent of extended handshakes projecting strength. Firm date locks or pre-summit optics could boost longer options, while escalations might shorten it or prompt no handshake.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado15s+ 34%
10–15s 31%
6–10 s 13%
2–6s 9%
$67,689 Vol.
$67,689 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sin apretón de manos
5%
<2s
3%
2–6s
9%
6–10 s
13%
10–15s
26%
15s+
34%
Solo fotografiados
2%
15s+ 34%
10–15s 31%
6–10 s 13%
2–6s 9%
$67,689 Vol.
$67,689 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sin apretón de manos
$11,520 Vol.
5%
<2s
$13,597 Vol.
3%
2–6s
$11,317 Vol.
9%
6–10 s
$4,432 Vol.
13%
10–15s
$4,179 Vol.
26%
15s+
$9,886 Vol.
34%
Solo fotografiados
$12,757 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes at 33.5% for 15 seconds or more and 27% for 10–15 seconds, reflecting the 27-second grip during Trump and Xi's October 2025 Busan summit, which signaled rapport amid trade talks. Recent letter exchanges, where Xi denied arming Iran per Trump's statements, alongside White House confirmation of the May 14–15 Beijing summit despite multiple Iran war delays, sustain optimism for a firm greeting as a diplomatic signal. The tight race persists due to lingering US-China tensions over tariffs and regional conflicts, balanced against historical precedent of extended handshakes projecting strength. Firm date locks or pre-summit optics could boost longer options, while escalations might shorten it or prompt no handshake.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Mercado abierto: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volumen
$67,689Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes at 33.5% for 15 seconds or more and 27% for 10–15 seconds, reflecting the 27-second grip during Trump and Xi's October 2025 Busan summit, which signaled rapport amid trade talks. Recent letter exchanges, where Xi denied arming Iran per Trump's statements, alongside White House confirmation of the May 14–15 Beijing summit despite multiple Iran war delays, sustain optimism for a firm greeting as a diplomatic signal. The tight race persists due to lingering US-China tensions over tariffs and regional conflicts, balanced against historical precedent of extended handshakes projecting strength. Firm date locks or pre-summit optics could boost longer options, while escalations might shorten it or prompt no handshake.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volumen
$67,689Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes at 33.5% for 15 seconds or more and 27% for 10–15 seconds, reflecting the 27-second grip during Trump and Xi's October 2025 Busan summit, which signaled rapport amid trade talks. Recent letter exchanges, where Xi denied arming Iran per Trump's statements, alongside White House confirmation of the May 14–15 Beijing summit despite multiple Iran war delays, sustain optimism for a firm greeting as a diplomatic signal. The tight race persists due to lingering US-China tensions over tariffs and regional conflicts, balanced against historical precedent of extended handshakes projecting strength. Firm date locks or pre-summit optics could boost longer options, while escalations might shorten it or prompt no handshake.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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