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Mundo·China

¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?

Market icon
Mundo·China

¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio

$0 Vol.

11%

31 de diciembre

$0 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai survived a no-confidence motion in the Legislative Yuan on May 28, 2024, when opposition Kuomintang (KMT, 52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP, 8 seats) mustered only 54 votes, short of the 57 needed for passage amid DPP's minority government (51 seats). This outcome stabilized his position under President Lai Ching-te, but legislative gridlock persists with recent disputes over 2025 budget cuts targeting executive agencies and stalled reforms on China policy and transparency. Traders monitor TPP's swing role, potential KMT-TPP unity on future motions, and upcoming sessions on budget implementation or cross-strait issues, which could prompt renewed no-confidence efforts absent major scandals or defections.

Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai survived a no-confidence motion in the Legislative Yuan on May 28, 2024, when opposition Kuomintang (KMT, 52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP, 8 seats) mustered only 54 votes, short of the 57 needed for passage amid DPP's minority government (51 seats). This outcome stabilized his position under President Lai Ching-te, but legislative gridlock persists with recent disputes over 2025 budget cuts targeting executive agencies and stalled reforms on China policy and transparency. Traders monitor TPP's swing role, potential KMT-TPP unity on future motions, and upcoming sessions on budget implementation or cross-strait issues, which could prompt renewed no-confidence efforts absent major scandals or defections.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai survived a no-confidence motion in the Legislative Yuan on May 28, 2024, when opposition Kuomintang (KMT, 52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP, 8 seats) mustered only 54 votes, short of the 57 needed for passage amid DPP's minority government (51 seats). This outcome stabilized his position under President Lai Ching-te, but legislative gridlock persists with recent disputes over 2025 budget cuts targeting executive agencies and stalled reforms on China policy and transparency. Traders monitor TPP's swing role, potential KMT-TPP unity on future motions, and upcoming sessions on budget implementation or cross-strait issues, which could prompt renewed no-confidence efforts absent major scandals or defections.

Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai survived a no-confidence motion in the Legislative Yuan on May 28, 2024, when opposition Kuomintang (KMT, 52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP, 8 seats) mustered only 54 votes, short of the 57 needed for passage amid DPP's minority government (51 seats). This outcome stabilized his position under President Lai Ching-te, but legislative gridlock persists with recent disputes over 2025 budget cuts targeting executive agencies and stalled reforms on China policy and transparency. Traders monitor TPP's swing role, potential KMT-TPP unity on future motions, and upcoming sessions on budget implementation or cross-strait issues, which could prompt renewed no-confidence efforts absent major scandals or defections.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 41%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 13, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El primer ministro taiwanés Cho Jung-tai sale por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.