Traders assign a 98.9% probability to no divorce for Xi Jinping before 2027 due to the absence of any credible reports of marital discord in his long-standing union with Peng Liyuan, which dates to 1987 and features regular joint public appearances in official state media. Chinese political norms strongly favor leadership continuity and family stability under the Communist Party, with personal matters tightly controlled and potential upheavals facing institutional suppression. Recent footage from summits shows Peng providing physical support amid unconfirmed health speculation about Xi, yet state portrayals emphasize partnership rather than strain. While a major undisclosed scandal or acute health event could theoretically prompt an announcement, such developments remain unsupported by evidence and would contradict established patterns for paramount leaders.