The near-certain trader consensus that Trump would remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional removal process, including impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals during his term that began in January 2025. Congressional majorities aligned with the administration have blocked advancement of such measures, while no verified health or incapacity developments triggered formal action. Historical patterns of low success rates for mid-term removals further reinforced positioning. Late-breaking events such as sudden incapacity declarations or unexpected resignation could theoretically have shifted outcomes, though none occurred within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$3,538,138 Vol.
$3,538,138 Vol.
31 may 2026
$3,538,138 Vol.
$3,538,138 Vol.
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Trump would remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional removal process, including impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals during his term that began in January 2025. Congressional majorities aligned with the administration have blocked advancement of such measures, while no verified health or incapacity developments triggered formal action. Historical patterns of low success rates for mid-term removals further reinforced positioning. Late-breaking events such as sudden incapacity declarations or unexpected resignation could theoretically have shifted outcomes, though none occurred within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$3,538,138Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Trump would remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional removal process, including impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals during his term that began in January 2025. Congressional majorities aligned with the administration have blocked advancement of such measures, while no verified health or incapacity developments triggered formal action. Historical patterns of low success rates for mid-term removals further reinforced positioning. Late-breaking events such as sudden incapacity declarations or unexpected resignation could theoretically have shifted outcomes, though none occurred within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,538,138Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The near-certain trader consensus that Trump would remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional removal process, including impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals during his term that began in January 2025. Congressional majorities aligned with the administration have blocked advancement of such measures, while no verified health or incapacity developments triggered formal action. Historical patterns of low success rates for mid-term removals further reinforced positioning. Late-breaking events such as sudden incapacity declarations or unexpected resignation could theoretically have shifted outcomes, though none occurred within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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