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icon for ¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?

¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?

icon for ¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?

¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$15,515,794 Vol.

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$15,515,794 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.Trump and first lady Melania shared a public kiss at the White House Congressional Picnic on May 19, providing verifiable photographic evidence that locked in resolution to Yes well before the May 31 deadline. This confirmed moment aligned with the market’s strict criteria for an in-person lip-to-lip greeting captured on camera, driving trader consensus to near-certainty as volume surged past $15 million. With only eight days remaining, no credible barriers remain to prevent fulfillment, though an unlikely challenge to the image’s authenticity could theoretically delay settlement. The rapid shift from earlier uncertainty reflects how a single documented public appearance can eliminate doubt in short-term celebrity-adjacent markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.
Volumen
$15,515,794
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.Trump and first lady Melania shared a public kiss at the White House Congressional Picnic on May 19, providing verifiable photographic evidence that locked in resolution to Yes well before the May 31 deadline. This confirmed moment aligned with the market’s strict criteria for an in-person lip-to-lip greeting captured on camera, driving trader consensus to near-certainty as volume surged past $15 million. With only eight days remaining, no credible barriers remain to prevent fulfillment, though an unlikely challenge to the image’s authenticity could theoretically delay settlement. The rapid shift from earlier uncertainty reflects how a single documented public appearance can eliminate doubt in short-term celebrity-adjacent markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.
Volumen
$15,515,794
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and any other person kiss by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Reputable video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. AI-generated, manipulated, or other non-authentic evidence will not qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The resolution source will be reputable photographic/video footage of a kiss.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Trump besará antes del 31 de mayo?" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?" ha generado $15.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?" es "¿Trump besará antes del 31 de mayo?" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Un beso de Trump antes del 31 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.