President Donald Trump participated in the White House swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 22, 2026, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. Trader attention centers on Trump's public remarks during the event, which historically feature unscripted comments on economic policy, Fed independence, and personnel performance. Recent developments include Trump's earlier nomination of Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell, Senate confirmation, and pre-ceremony statements stressing that the central bank should operate without external pressure on interest rates. Market pricing reflects the "wisdom of crowds" assessing the likelihood of specific terms appearing in Trump's remarks, informed by his prior public emphasis on reform at the institution and expectations for lower rates amid ongoing economic conditions. Upcoming resolution hinges on the official transcript or video of the East Room proceedings, where factors such as prepared remarks versus spontaneous asides could shift outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$46,135 Vol.
22 may 2026
Desempleo 5 o más veces
No
Inflación 5+ veces
Sí
Arancel más de 5 veces
No
Buenas tardes
No
Empleo
Sí
Renovación
No
Tonto
No
Salón de baile / Piscina
No
Biden
Sí
Seis Siete
No
Irán
Sí
Demasiado tarde
No
Tarifa reducida
No
Oro
No
Recesión
No
Booming
Sí
Presupuesto
Sí
Guerra
No
Petróleo
No
Cripto / Bitcoin
No
Máximo histórico
No
Jerome / Powell
No
-Sin evento calificador-
No
$46,135 Vol.
Desempleo 5 o más veces
$1,303 Vol.
No
Inflación 5+ veces
$1,981 Vol.
Sí
Arancel más de 5 veces
$1,298 Vol.
No
Buenas tardes
$559 Vol.
No
Empleo
$12,339 Vol.
Sí
Renovación
$811 Vol.
No
Tonto
$1,272 Vol.
No
Salón de baile / Piscina
$527 Vol.
No
Biden
$465 Vol.
Sí
Seis Siete
$309 Vol.
No
Irán
$624 Vol.
Sí
Demasiado tarde
$2,156 Vol.
No
Tarifa reducida
$976 Vol.
No
Oro
$331 Vol.
No
Recesión
$651 Vol.
No
Booming
$699 Vol.
Sí
Presupuesto
$1,455 Vol.
Sí
Guerra
$2,187 Vol.
No
Petróleo
$3,009 Vol.
No
Cripto / Bitcoin
$3,188 Vol.
No
Máximo histórico
$948 Vol.
No
Jerome / Powell
$3,060 Vol.
No
-Sin evento calificador-
$5,986 Vol.
No
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump participated in the White House swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 22, 2026, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. Trader attention centers on Trump's public remarks during the event, which historically feature unscripted comments on economic policy, Fed independence, and personnel performance. Recent developments include Trump's earlier nomination of Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell, Senate confirmation, and pre-ceremony statements stressing that the central bank should operate without external pressure on interest rates. Market pricing reflects the "wisdom of crowds" assessing the likelihood of specific terms appearing in Trump's remarks, informed by his prior public emphasis on reform at the institution and expectations for lower rates amid ongoing economic conditions. Upcoming resolution hinges on the official transcript or video of the East Room proceedings, where factors such as prepared remarks versus spontaneous asides could shift outcomes.
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Volumen
$46,135Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump participated in the White House swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 22, 2026, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. Trader attention centers on Trump's public remarks during the event, which historically feature unscripted comments on economic policy, Fed independence, and personnel performance. Recent developments include Trump's earlier nomination of Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell, Senate confirmation, and pre-ceremony statements stressing that the central bank should operate without external pressure on interest rates. Market pricing reflects the "wisdom of crowds" assessing the likelihood of specific terms appearing in Trump's remarks, informed by his prior public emphasis on reform at the institution and expectations for lower rates amid ongoing economic conditions. Upcoming resolution hinges on the official transcript or video of the East Room proceedings, where factors such as prepared remarks versus spontaneous asides could shift outcomes.
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volumen
$46,135Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
President Donald Trump participated in the White House swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 22, 2026, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. Trader attention centers on Trump's public remarks during the event, which historically feature unscripted comments on economic policy, Fed independence, and personnel performance. Recent developments include Trump's earlier nomination of Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell, Senate confirmation, and pre-ceremony statements stressing that the central bank should operate without external pressure on interest rates. Market pricing reflects the "wisdom of crowds" assessing the likelihood of specific terms appearing in Trump's remarks, informed by his prior public emphasis on reform at the institution and expectations for lower rates amid ongoing economic conditions. Upcoming resolution hinges on the official transcript or video of the East Room proceedings, where factors such as prepared remarks versus spontaneous asides could shift outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes