¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del gobierno?
5 days
$12,206,550 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
4+ días
$2,325,517 Vol.
99%
4+ días
$2,325,517 Vol.
99%
5+ días
$904,837 Vol.
60%
5+ días
$904,837 Vol.
60%
6+
$160,339 Vol.
37%
6+
$160,339 Vol.
37%
7+ días
$1,158,470 Vol.
20%
7+ días
$1,158,470 Vol.
20%
10+ días
$449,932 Vol.
11%
10+ días
$449,932 Vol.
11%
14+ días
$726,953 Vol.
5%
14+ días
$726,953 Vol.
5%
30+ días
$612,979 Vol.
2%
30+ días
$612,979 Vol.
2%
Más de 60 días
$291,941 Vol.
1%
Más de 60 días
$291,941 Vol.
1%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$12,206,550Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Creado en
Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del gobierno?
5 days
$12,206,550 Vol.
4+ días
$2,325,517 Vol.
99%
5+ días
$904,837 Vol.
60%
6+
$160,339 Vol.
37%
7+ días
$1,158,470 Vol.
20%
10+ días
$449,932 Vol.
11%
14+ días
$726,953 Vol.
5%
30+ días
$612,979 Vol.
2%
Más de 60 días
$291,941 Vol.
1%
Acerca de
Volumen
$12,206,550Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Creado en
Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.