Market icon

Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

18°C 86%

19°C 10.1%

20°C 2.2%

21°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$129,003 Vol.

18°C 86%

19°C 10.1%

20°C 2.2%

21°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$129,003 Vol.

16°C

$19,116 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$19,755 Vol.

<1%

18°C

$8,139 Vol.

86%

19°C

$6,499 Vol.

10%

20°C

$9,440 Vol.

2%

21°C or higher

$6,634 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecasts, issued at 05:00 and 11:00 JST on March 28, project Tokyo's daytime high near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional sunny intervals and low precipitation risk (10-20%), well above the daily normal maximum of 16.5°C. Yet trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to exactly 18°C, reflecting caution amid persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation and daytime boundary layer heating, as observed in current morning conditions and short-range model ensembles. This positions 19°C at 9.6%, with negligible odds for extremes, given mild southerly flow but frontal influences capping intensification; final resolution hinges on official Tokyo station observations through evening.

The Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecasts, issued at 05:00 and 11:00 JST on March 28, project Tokyo's daytime high near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional sunny intervals and low precipitation risk (10-20%), well above the daily normal maximum of 16.5°C. Yet trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to exactly 18°C, reflecting caution amid persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation and daytime boundary layer heating, as observed in current morning conditions and short-range model ensembles. This positions 19°C at 9.6%, with negligible odds for extremes, given mild southerly flow but frontal influences capping intensification; final resolution hinges on official Tokyo station observations through evening.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecasts, issued at 05:00 and 11:00 JST on March 28, project Tokyo's daytime high near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional sunny intervals and low precipitation risk (10-20%), well above the daily normal maximum of 16.5°C. Yet trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to exactly 18°C, reflecting caution amid persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation and daytime boundary layer heating, as observed in current morning conditions and short-range model ensembles. This positions 19°C at 9.6%, with negligible odds for extremes, given mild southerly flow but frontal influences capping intensification; final resolution hinges on official Tokyo station observations through evening.

The Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecasts, issued at 05:00 and 11:00 JST on March 28, project Tokyo's daytime high near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional sunny intervals and low precipitation risk (10-20%), well above the daily normal maximum of 16.5°C. Yet trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to exactly 18°C, reflecting caution amid persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation and daytime boundary layer heating, as observed in current morning conditions and short-range model ensembles. This positions 19°C at 9.6%, with negligible odds for extremes, given mild southerly flow but frontal influences capping intensification; final resolution hinges on official Tokyo station observations through evening.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "18°C" con 86%, seguido de "19°C" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 86¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 28?" ha generado $129K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 28?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 28?" es "18°C" con 86%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "19°C" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.