Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on March 29 at 20–27°C under partly clear skies with low 10% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus toward 24°C (26.5% implied probability) and 25°C (30.5%) as the most likely outcomes amid tight uncertainty. This clustering reflects model ensemble spreads influenced by lingering northeasterly seasonal winds moderating daytime heating, variable morning cloudiness or fog potential, and urban heat effects at the resolving station, Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport. Historical March highs average 22–24°C in Taipei, with recent days showing fluctuations from cool fronts earlier in the month to brief warm-ups. New observational data and evening forecast updates could refine these odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
25°C 29%
24°C 27%
27°C 16%
26°C 10%
$169,387 Vol.
$169,387 Vol.
22°C or below
6%
23°C
10%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
10%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
24°C 27%
27°C 16%
26°C 10%
$169,387 Vol.
$169,387 Vol.
22°C or below
6%
23°C
10%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
10%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on March 29 at 20–27°C under partly clear skies with low 10% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus toward 24°C (26.5% implied probability) and 25°C (30.5%) as the most likely outcomes amid tight uncertainty. This clustering reflects model ensemble spreads influenced by lingering northeasterly seasonal winds moderating daytime heating, variable morning cloudiness or fog potential, and urban heat effects at the resolving station, Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport. Historical March highs average 22–24°C in Taipei, with recent days showing fluctuations from cool fronts earlier in the month to brief warm-ups. New observational data and evening forecast updates could refine these odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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