Official Central Weather Administration observations confirm Taipei's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, peaked at 22°C amid a cold frontal passage ushering in cloudy skies, showers, and unseasonably cool conditions—highlighted by rare snow on Yushan peak—suppressing typical spring warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus from days prior projecting daytime highs of 19–23°C under northeasterly winds and high humidity, well below April's climatological average of 24–25°C at Songshan Airport station, the likely resolution source. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 22°C reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified hourly data. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to official records or station-specific measurement disputes, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
22°C 99.7%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$144,997 Vol.
$144,997 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.7%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$144,997 Vol.
$144,997 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration observations confirm Taipei's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, peaked at 22°C amid a cold frontal passage ushering in cloudy skies, showers, and unseasonably cool conditions—highlighted by rare snow on Yushan peak—suppressing typical spring warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus from days prior projecting daytime highs of 19–23°C under northeasterly winds and high humidity, well below April's climatological average of 24–25°C at Songshan Airport station, the likely resolution source. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 22°C reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified hourly data. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to official records or station-specific measurement disputes, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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