Official weather observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau confirm the highest temperature on March 25, 2024, reached exactly 28°C at key monitoring stations, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data resolves the market. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover under stable subtropical high-pressure influence capped daytime heating, aligning with ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS that projected peaks in the upper 20s°C amid seasonal norms for late March (historical average high ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from auxiliary stations or measurement discrepancies, though authoritative reports show no such variances; traders await formal resolution announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 25?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
No
21°C
$0 Vol.
No
22°C
$0 Vol.
No
23°C
$0 Vol.
No
24°C
$0 Vol.
No
25°C
$0 Vol.
No
26°C
$0 Vol.
No
27°C
$0 Vol.
No
28°C
$0 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$0 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official weather observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau confirm the highest temperature on March 25, 2024, reached exactly 28°C at key monitoring stations, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data resolves the market. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover under stable subtropical high-pressure influence capped daytime heating, aligning with ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS that projected peaks in the upper 20s°C amid seasonal norms for late March (historical average high ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from auxiliary stations or measurement discrepancies, though authoritative reports show no such variances; traders await formal resolution announcement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:20 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 6:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official weather observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau confirm the highest temperature on March 25, 2024, reached exactly 28°C at key monitoring stations, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data resolves the market. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover under stable subtropical high-pressure influence capped daytime heating, aligning with ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS that projected peaks in the upper 20s°C amid seasonal norms for late March (historical average high ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from auxiliary stations or measurement discrepancies, though authoritative reports show no such variances; traders await formal resolution announcement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 6:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official weather observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau confirm the highest temperature on March 25, 2024, reached exactly 28°C at key monitoring stations, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data resolves the market. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover under stable subtropical high-pressure influence capped daytime heating, aligning with ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS that projected peaks in the upper 20s°C amid seasonal norms for late March (historical average high ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from auxiliary stations or measurement discrepancies, though authoritative reports show no such variances; traders await formal resolution announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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