Official National Weather Service observations confirm San Francisco's highest temperature on March 26 reached 70°F at key monitoring stations, including San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), locking trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with mild spring conditions under high pressure ridging over California, featuring light onshore winds and clear skies that capped daytime heating, consistent with recent NOAA forecast models showing limited warm-air advection. Historical March averages around 62°F further contextualize this above-normal but constrained peak. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from preliminary to final records or disputes over measurement standards, though agency verification processes make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on March 26?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 26?
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$73,949 Vol.
$73,949 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$73,949 Vol.
$73,949 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
55°F or below
$3,597 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,579 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$3,897 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$3,026 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$8,776 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$6,568 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,511 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$4,596 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$13,092 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$12,585 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$10,723 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations confirm San Francisco's highest temperature on March 26 reached 70°F at key monitoring stations, including San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), locking trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with mild spring conditions under high pressure ridging over California, featuring light onshore winds and clear skies that capped daytime heating, consistent with recent NOAA forecast models showing limited warm-air advection. Historical March averages around 62°F further contextualize this above-normal but constrained peak. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from preliminary to final records or disputes over measurement standards, though agency verification processes make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volumen
$73,949Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations confirm San Francisco's highest temperature on March 26 reached 70°F at key monitoring stations, including San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), locking trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with mild spring conditions under high pressure ridging over California, featuring light onshore winds and clear skies that capped daytime heating, consistent with recent NOAA forecast models showing limited warm-air advection. Historical March averages around 62°F further contextualize this above-normal but constrained peak. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from preliminary to final records or disputes over measurement standards, though agency verification processes make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$73,949Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official National Weather Service observations confirm San Francisco's highest temperature on March 26 reached 70°F at key monitoring stations, including San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), locking trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with mild spring conditions under high pressure ridging over California, featuring light onshore winds and clear skies that capped daytime heating, consistent with recent NOAA forecast models showing limited warm-air advection. Historical March averages around 62°F further contextualize this above-normal but constrained peak. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from preliminary to final records or disputes over measurement standards, though agency verification processes make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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