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Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 50%

10°C 33%

12°C 16%

13°C 2.4%

Polymarket

$59,719 Vol.

11°C 50%

10°C 33%

12°C 16%

13°C 2.4%

Polymarket

$59,719 Vol.

8°C

$4,328 Vol.

1%

9°C

$5,677 Vol.

2%

10°C

$7,476 Vol.

33%

11°C

$8,012 Vol.

50%

12°C

$7,216 Vol.

16%

13°C

$4,133 Vol.

2%

14°C

$3,771 Vol.

1%

15°C

$3,288 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$3,035 Vol.

<1%

17°C or higher

$4,118 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 11°C at 48% implied probability, ahead of 10°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast projecting a maximum around 12°C amid overcast skies and scattered showers, coupled with current observations reaching 11°C by mid-afternoon at stations like Montsouris. A recent influx of cold northerly air since March 26 has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, with cloudy conditions limiting solar heating and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models showing minimal late-day warming potential. Official monitoring continues through evening, with resolution based on verified highs from Paris reference stations; any unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C, though persistent cloud cover favors the lower cluster.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 11°C at 48% implied probability, ahead of 10°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast projecting a maximum around 12°C amid overcast skies and scattered showers, coupled with current observations reaching 11°C by mid-afternoon at stations like Montsouris. A recent influx of cold northerly air since March 26 has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, with cloudy conditions limiting solar heating and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models showing minimal late-day warming potential. Official monitoring continues through evening, with resolution based on verified highs from Paris reference stations; any unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C, though persistent cloud cover favors the lower cluster.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 11°C at 48% implied probability, ahead of 10°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast projecting a maximum around 12°C amid overcast skies and scattered showers, coupled with current observations reaching 11°C by mid-afternoon at stations like Montsouris. A recent influx of cold northerly air since March 26 has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, with cloudy conditions limiting solar heating and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models showing minimal late-day warming potential. Official monitoring continues through evening, with resolution based on verified highs from Paris reference stations; any unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C, though persistent cloud cover favors the lower cluster.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 11°C at 48% implied probability, ahead of 10°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast projecting a maximum around 12°C amid overcast skies and scattered showers, coupled with current observations reaching 11°C by mid-afternoon at stations like Montsouris. A recent influx of cold northerly air since March 26 has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, with cloudy conditions limiting solar heating and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models showing minimal late-day warming potential. Official monitoring continues through evening, with resolution based on verified highs from Paris reference stations; any unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C, though persistent cloud cover favors the lower cluster.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "11°C" con 50%, seguido de "10°C" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" ha generado $59.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" es "11°C" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "10°C" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.