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Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 56%

10°C 24%

12°C 16%

9°C <1%

Polymarket

$67,583 Vol.

11°C 56%

10°C 24%

12°C 16%

9°C <1%

Polymarket

$67,583 Vol.

8°C

$6,129 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$6,485 Vol.

1%

10°C

$9,075 Vol.

24%

11°C

$9,087 Vol.

56%

12°C

$8,488 Vol.

16%

13°C

$4,904 Vol.

1%

14°C

$4,136 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$3,368 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$3,056 Vol.

<1%

17°C or higher

$4,139 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to 11°C as Paris's highest temperature today, driven by Météo-France observations peaking at 11°C mid-afternoon at stations like Paris-Montsouris under persistent overcast skies and northerly winds advecting cool air. Morning temperatures started at 9°C amid light showers, limiting solar insolation and capping warming, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting only modest gains to 12°C at most before sunset around 19:45. The 31% odds on 10°C reflect hedging against sustained cloud cover, while 13.5% for 12°C aligns with Météo-France's official maximum projection but acknowledges model uncertainty in late-day clearing. March climatology averages 11.8°C highs, but current cool air mass reinforces subdued peaks; final hourly bulletins will clarify resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to 11°C as Paris's highest temperature today, driven by Météo-France observations peaking at 11°C mid-afternoon at stations like Paris-Montsouris under persistent overcast skies and northerly winds advecting cool air. Morning temperatures started at 9°C amid light showers, limiting solar insolation and capping warming, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting only modest gains to 12°C at most before sunset around 19:45. The 31% odds on 10°C reflect hedging against sustained cloud cover, while 13.5% for 12°C aligns with Météo-France's official maximum projection but acknowledges model uncertainty in late-day clearing. March climatology averages 11.8°C highs, but current cool air mass reinforces subdued peaks; final hourly bulletins will clarify resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to 11°C as Paris's highest temperature today, driven by Météo-France observations peaking at 11°C mid-afternoon at stations like Paris-Montsouris under persistent overcast skies and northerly winds advecting cool air. Morning temperatures started at 9°C amid light showers, limiting solar insolation and capping warming, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting only modest gains to 12°C at most before sunset around 19:45. The 31% odds on 10°C reflect hedging against sustained cloud cover, while 13.5% for 12°C aligns with Météo-France's official maximum projection but acknowledges model uncertainty in late-day clearing. March climatology averages 11.8°C highs, but current cool air mass reinforces subdued peaks; final hourly bulletins will clarify resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to 11°C as Paris's highest temperature today, driven by Météo-France observations peaking at 11°C mid-afternoon at stations like Paris-Montsouris under persistent overcast skies and northerly winds advecting cool air. Morning temperatures started at 9°C amid light showers, limiting solar insolation and capping warming, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting only modest gains to 12°C at most before sunset around 19:45. The 31% odds on 10°C reflect hedging against sustained cloud cover, while 13.5% for 12°C aligns with Météo-France's official maximum projection but acknowledges model uncertainty in late-day clearing. March climatology averages 11.8°C highs, but current cool air mass reinforces subdued peaks; final hourly bulletins will clarify resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "11°C" con 56%, seguido de "10°C" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" ha generado $67.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" es "11°C" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "10°C" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.