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Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

82-83°F 49%

80-81°F 23%

84-85°F 21%

78-79°F 5.5%

Polymarket

$46,654 Vol.

82-83°F 49%

80-81°F 23%

84-85°F 21%

78-79°F 5.5%

Polymarket

$46,654 Vol.

71°F or below

$6,970 Vol.

<1%

72-73°F

$2,488 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$4,008 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$8,783 Vol.

3%

78-79°F

$6,819 Vol.

5%

80-81°F

$3,726 Vol.

23%

82-83°F

$4,583 Vol.

49%

84-85°F

$2,068 Vol.

21%

86-87°F

$2,237 Vol.

2%

88-89°F

$3,416 Vol.

1%

90°F or higher

$1,556 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 82-83°F (46.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models indicating peak daytime heat in that range under persistent high-pressure ridging over Florida. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs from March 26 show consensus maxima around 82.5°F, with light southerly winds and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 78°F fueling above-normal warmth following a mild front on March 24 that cleared clouds and stabilized conditions. Climatological March highs average 80.7°F, but current neutral ENSO conditions and minimal rain chances (under 20%) support this positioning, though evening soundings could refine probabilities ahead of March 27 resolution based on observed 850mb temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$46,654
Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 82-83°F (46.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models indicating peak daytime heat in that range under persistent high-pressure ridging over Florida. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs from March 26 show consensus maxima around 82.5°F, with light southerly winds and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 78°F fueling above-normal warmth following a mild front on March 24 that cleared clouds and stabilized conditions. Climatological March highs average 80.7°F, but current neutral ENSO conditions and minimal rain chances (under 20%) support this positioning, though evening soundings could refine probabilities ahead of March 27 resolution based on observed 850mb temperatures.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high temperature of 82-83°F (46.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models indicating peak daytime heat in that range under persistent high-pressure ridging over Florida. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs from March 26 show consensus maxima around 82.5°F, with light southerly winds and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 78°F fueling above-normal warmth following a mild front on March 24 that cleared clouds and stabilized conditions. Climatological March highs average 80.7°F, but current neutral ENSO conditions and minimal rain chances (under 20%) support this positioning, though evening soundings could refine probabilities ahead of March 27 resolution based on observed 850mb temperatures.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "82-83°F" con 49%, seguido de "80-81°F" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?" ha generado $46.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?" es "82-83°F" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "80-81°F" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.