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Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

13°C 38%

12°C 24%

14°C 22%

11°C or below 8%

Polymarket

$123,751 Vol.

13°C 38%

12°C 24%

14°C 22%

11°C or below 8%

Polymarket

$123,751 Vol.

11°C or below

$2,972 Vol.

8%

12°C

$1,806 Vol.

24%

13°C

$1,487 Vol.

38%

14°C

$2,473 Vol.

22%

15°C

$1,455 Vol.

6%

16°C

$2,114 Vol.

3%

17°C

$1,590 Vol.

2%

18°C

$2,504 Vol.

1%

19°C

$2,293 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$66,005 Vol.

<1%

21°C or higher

$39,180 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model runs project a maximum temperature of around 13–14°C for Madrid on March 29, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 13°C at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting a sharp cool-down from recent highs of 19–20°C on March 27–28 amid incoming northerly winds ushering cooler continental air. Clear skies and low precipitation probability (0%) support daytime heating limited by the northerly flow and reduced solar insolation under shorter March daylight, consistent with historical March averages of 15–17°C but tempered by current upper-air patterns. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon boundary layer mixing; watch AEMET's next 00Z update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport.

Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model runs project a maximum temperature of around 13–14°C for Madrid on March 29, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 13°C at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting a sharp cool-down from recent highs of 19–20°C on March 27–28 amid incoming northerly winds ushering cooler continental air. Clear skies and low precipitation probability (0%) support daytime heating limited by the northerly flow and reduced solar insolation under shorter March daylight, consistent with historical March averages of 15–17°C but tempered by current upper-air patterns. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon boundary layer mixing; watch AEMET's next 00Z update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model runs project a maximum temperature of around 13–14°C for Madrid on March 29, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 13°C at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting a sharp cool-down from recent highs of 19–20°C on March 27–28 amid incoming northerly winds ushering cooler continental air. Clear skies and low precipitation probability (0%) support daytime heating limited by the northerly flow and reduced solar insolation under shorter March daylight, consistent with historical March averages of 15–17°C but tempered by current upper-air patterns. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon boundary layer mixing; watch AEMET's next 00Z update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport.

Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model runs project a maximum temperature of around 13–14°C for Madrid on March 29, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 13°C at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting a sharp cool-down from recent highs of 19–20°C on March 27–28 amid incoming northerly winds ushering cooler continental air. Clear skies and low precipitation probability (0%) support daytime heating limited by the northerly flow and reduced solar insolation under shorter March daylight, consistent with historical March averages of 15–17°C but tempered by current upper-air patterns. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon boundary layer mixing; watch AEMET's next 00Z update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "13°C" con 38%, seguido de "12°C" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" ha generado $123.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" es "13°C" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "12°C" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.