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¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 36%

18°C 32%

16°C 16%

19°C 12.9%

Polymarket

$41,002 Vol.

17°C 36%

18°C 32%

16°C 16%

19°C 12.9%

Polymarket

$41,002 Vol.

13°C o menos

$3,840 Vol.

1%

14°C

$5,034 Vol.

1%

15°C

$5,179 Vol.

2%

16°C

$4,605 Vol.

16%

17°C

$3,307 Vol.

36%

18°C

$4,078 Vol.

32%

19°C

$3,386 Vol.

13%

20°C

$3,815 Vol.

4%

21°C

$2,978 Vol.

1%

22°C

$2,679 Vol.

<1%

23°C o más

$2,102 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread of 16.5–18.5°C for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward 17°C and 18°C with near-even implied probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18.9°C at Barajas reflected mild southerly flows under a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, but recent 24-hour updates from AEMET and global models indicate subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air, lighter cloud cover enhancing solar insolation, and moderated urban heat island effects. Historical late-March averages near 16°C provide baseline context, while new 00Z ensemble runs overnight could refine the balance between these outcomes.

Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread of 16.5–18.5°C for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward 17°C and 18°C with near-even implied probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18.9°C at Barajas reflected mild southerly flows under a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, but recent 24-hour updates from AEMET and global models indicate subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air, lighter cloud cover enhancing solar insolation, and moderated urban heat island effects. Historical late-March averages near 16°C provide baseline context, while new 00Z ensemble runs overnight could refine the balance between these outcomes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread of 16.5–18.5°C for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward 17°C and 18°C with near-even implied probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18.9°C at Barajas reflected mild southerly flows under a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, but recent 24-hour updates from AEMET and global models indicate subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air, lighter cloud cover enhancing solar insolation, and moderated urban heat island effects. Historical late-March averages near 16°C provide baseline context, while new 00Z ensemble runs overnight could refine the balance between these outcomes.

Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread of 16.5–18.5°C for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward 17°C and 18°C with near-even implied probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18.9°C at Barajas reflected mild southerly flows under a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, but recent 24-hour updates from AEMET and global models indicate subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air, lighter cloud cover enhancing solar insolation, and moderated urban heat island effects. Historical late-March averages near 16°C provide baseline context, while new 00Z ensemble runs overnight could refine the balance between these outcomes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C" con 36%, seguido de "18°C" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" ha generado $41K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" es "17°C" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "18°C" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.