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¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 37%

18°C 30%

16°C 21%

19°C 9.2%

Polymarket

$30,148 Vol.

17°C 37%

18°C 30%

16°C 21%

19°C 9.2%

Polymarket

$30,148 Vol.

13°C o menos

$3,327 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$2,953 Vol.

1%

15°C

$4,077 Vol.

6%

16°C

$3,305 Vol.

21%

17°C

$2,640 Vol.

37%

18°C

$3,294 Vol.

30%

19°C

$2,513 Vol.

9%

20°C

$2,757 Vol.

2%

21°C

$1,957 Vol.

1%

22°C

$1,820 Vol.

<1%

23°C o más

$1,526 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for 17°C as Madrid's highest temperature on March 28, with 18°C at 30% and 16°C at 19%, capturing the narrow spread in ensemble forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF. Latest high-resolution model runs show a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Iberia funneling mild continental air, following cooler northerly flows earlier this week that depressed early projections. ECMWF's deterministic output peaks at 17.5°C, while GFS edges warmer toward 18°C amid boundary layer uncertainties and variable low-cloud cover; UKMO remains cooler at 16°C. March climatology averages 15-16°C, but ongoing positive anomalies from weak Atlantic influence add upside risk. AEMET's next advisory, due evening, could sharpen resolution amid model convergence.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for 17°C as Madrid's highest temperature on March 28, with 18°C at 30% and 16°C at 19%, capturing the narrow spread in ensemble forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF. Latest high-resolution model runs show a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Iberia funneling mild continental air, following cooler northerly flows earlier this week that depressed early projections. ECMWF's deterministic output peaks at 17.5°C, while GFS edges warmer toward 18°C amid boundary layer uncertainties and variable low-cloud cover; UKMO remains cooler at 16°C. March climatology averages 15-16°C, but ongoing positive anomalies from weak Atlantic influence add upside risk. AEMET's next advisory, due evening, could sharpen resolution amid model convergence.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for 17°C as Madrid's highest temperature on March 28, with 18°C at 30% and 16°C at 19%, capturing the narrow spread in ensemble forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF. Latest high-resolution model runs show a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Iberia funneling mild continental air, following cooler northerly flows earlier this week that depressed early projections. ECMWF's deterministic output peaks at 17.5°C, while GFS edges warmer toward 18°C amid boundary layer uncertainties and variable low-cloud cover; UKMO remains cooler at 16°C. March climatology averages 15-16°C, but ongoing positive anomalies from weak Atlantic influence add upside risk. AEMET's next advisory, due evening, could sharpen resolution amid model convergence.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for 17°C as Madrid's highest temperature on March 28, with 18°C at 30% and 16°C at 19%, capturing the narrow spread in ensemble forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF. Latest high-resolution model runs show a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Iberia funneling mild continental air, following cooler northerly flows earlier this week that depressed early projections. ECMWF's deterministic output peaks at 17.5°C, while GFS edges warmer toward 18°C amid boundary layer uncertainties and variable low-cloud cover; UKMO remains cooler at 16°C. March climatology averages 15-16°C, but ongoing positive anomalies from weak Atlantic influence add upside risk. AEMET's next advisory, due evening, could sharpen resolution amid model convergence.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C" con 37%, seguido de "18°C" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" ha generado $30.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" es "17°C" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "18°C" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.