India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 33°C on March 28 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, driving trader consensus with 72% implied probability on that outcome and 15% on 34°C. Yesterday's recorded high of 30.6°C, 4.6°C below normal, reflects recent cooler conditions amid light winds and higher humidity, but model consensus anticipates diurnal warming typical for late March, when historical averages hover around 33°C amid rising solar insolation and dry continental air masses. Lower odds for 32°C or below (7.5%) account for minimal cooling risks, while extremes remain improbable given stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on official Lucknow Airport observations by day's end; intraday updates from IMD could refine trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 70%
34°C 14%
32°C or below 10%
35°C 3.5%
$25,871 Vol.
$25,871 Vol.
32°C or below
10%
33°C
70%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 14%
32°C or below 10%
35°C 3.5%
$25,871 Vol.
$25,871 Vol.
32°C or below
10%
33°C
70%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 33°C on March 28 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, driving trader consensus with 72% implied probability on that outcome and 15% on 34°C. Yesterday's recorded high of 30.6°C, 4.6°C below normal, reflects recent cooler conditions amid light winds and higher humidity, but model consensus anticipates diurnal warming typical for late March, when historical averages hover around 33°C amid rising solar insolation and dry continental air masses. Lower odds for 32°C or below (7.5%) account for minimal cooling risks, while extremes remain improbable given stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on official Lucknow Airport observations by day's end; intraday updates from IMD could refine trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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