Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 27 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 27 de marzo?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

32°C o menos 96.9%

33°C 2.9%

34°C 1.9%

35°C <1%

Polymarket

$72,989 Vol.

32°C o menos 96.9%

33°C 2.9%

34°C 1.9%

35°C <1%

Polymarket

$72,989 Vol.

32°C o menos

$11,276 Vol.

97%

33°C

$6,298 Vol.

3%

34°C

$5,090 Vol.

2%

35°C

$9,423 Vol.

<1%

36°C

$4,757 Vol.

<1%

37°C

$5,916 Vol.

<1%

38°C

$3,288 Vol.

<1%

39°C

$3,805 Vol.

<1%

40°C

$2,662 Vol.

<1%

41°C

$3,356 Vol.

<1%

42°C o más

$17,315 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to 32°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a daytime maximum of 31°C under dry, stable conditions with light winds and clear skies. Recent observations confirm highs of 29-30°C over the past week, aligning with early March climatological normals (historical average ~31-32°C max) and subdued warming from lingering northerly flows post-winter. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles reinforce this outlook, showing no intensification of heat advection. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected southerly winds or prolonged solar heating pushing temps above 33°C, though low-probability given current upper-air patterns; watch IMD's daily bulletin for updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$72,989
Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to 32°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a daytime maximum of 31°C under dry, stable conditions with light winds and clear skies. Recent observations confirm highs of 29-30°C over the past week, aligning with early March climatological normals (historical average ~31-32°C max) and subdued warming from lingering northerly flows post-winter. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles reinforce this outlook, showing no intensification of heat advection. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected southerly winds or prolonged solar heating pushing temps above 33°C, though low-probability given current upper-air patterns; watch IMD's daily bulletin for updates.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to 32°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a daytime maximum of 31°C under dry, stable conditions with light winds and clear skies. Recent observations confirm highs of 29-30°C over the past week, aligning with early March climatological normals (historical average ~31-32°C max) and subdued warming from lingering northerly flows post-winter. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles reinforce this outlook, showing no intensification of heat advection. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected southerly winds or prolonged solar heating pushing temps above 33°C, though low-probability given current upper-air patterns; watch IMD's daily bulletin for updates.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 27 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "32°C o menos" con 97%, seguido de "33°C" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 27 de marzo?" ha generado $73K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 27 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 27 de marzo?" es "32°C o menos" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "33°C" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 27 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.