Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Denver's highest temperature on March 25 falling in the 86-87°F range, driven by unanimous forecast model agreement from the National Weather Service (NWS), GFS, and ECMWF ensembles. Latest 12Z runs project a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies, channeling chinook winds for adiabatic warming under clear skies, with NWS pinpointing a high of 87°F amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. This sharp positioning follows yesterday's refined guidance narrowing ensemble spreads to ±1-2°F, erasing prior uncertainty from variable downslope flow. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated mid-level cloud deck or accelerated shortwave trough, potentially suppressing peaks below 85°F, though current observations favor the consensus. New evening model updates could refine this further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
77°F or below
$0 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
Yes
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
No
96°F or higher
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Denver's highest temperature on March 25 falling in the 86-87°F range, driven by unanimous forecast model agreement from the National Weather Service (NWS), GFS, and ECMWF ensembles. Latest 12Z runs project a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies, channeling chinook winds for adiabatic warming under clear skies, with NWS pinpointing a high of 87°F amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. This sharp positioning follows yesterday's refined guidance narrowing ensemble spreads to ±1-2°F, erasing prior uncertainty from variable downslope flow. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated mid-level cloud deck or accelerated shortwave trough, potentially suppressing peaks below 85°F, though current observations favor the consensus. New evening model updates could refine this further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Denver's highest temperature on March 25 falling in the 86-87°F range, driven by unanimous forecast model agreement from the National Weather Service (NWS), GFS, and ECMWF ensembles. Latest 12Z runs project a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies, channeling chinook winds for adiabatic warming under clear skies, with NWS pinpointing a high of 87°F amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. This sharp positioning follows yesterday's refined guidance narrowing ensemble spreads to ±1-2°F, erasing prior uncertainty from variable downslope flow. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated mid-level cloud deck or accelerated shortwave trough, potentially suppressing peaks below 85°F, though current observations favor the consensus. New evening model updates could refine this further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Denver's highest temperature on March 25 falling in the 86-87°F range, driven by unanimous forecast model agreement from the National Weather Service (NWS), GFS, and ECMWF ensembles. Latest 12Z runs project a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies, channeling chinook winds for adiabatic warming under clear skies, with NWS pinpointing a high of 87°F amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. This sharp positioning follows yesterday's refined guidance narrowing ensemble spreads to ±1-2°F, erasing prior uncertainty from variable downslope flow. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated mid-level cloud deck or accelerated shortwave trough, potentially suppressing peaks below 85°F, though current observations favor the consensus. New evening model updates could refine this further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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