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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

62-63°F 29%

60-61°F 26%

64-65°F 17%

58-59°F 14%

Polymarket

$18,920 Vol.

62-63°F 29%

60-61°F 26%

64-65°F 17%

58-59°F 14%

Polymarket

$18,920 Vol.

53°F o menos

$4,604 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$1,410 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$2,217 Vol.

4%

58-59°F

$1,600 Vol.

14%

60-61°F

$1,298 Vol.

26%

62-63°F

$1,036 Vol.

29%

64-65°F

$1,010 Vol.

17%

66-67°F

$749 Vol.

6%

68-69°F

$920 Vol.

2%

70-71°F

$1,369 Vol.

2%

72°F or higher

$2,707 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high temperature in Chicago around 61-63°F on March 29, with 62-63°F (29.5%) narrowly leading 60-61°F (26.0%), reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means amid model spread of 2-5°F. This positioning follows a warm spell last week, including 70s highs on March 25 and recent records like 73°F earlier in the month, sustaining mild southerly flow despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern favoring cooler norms near 48°F. Key differentiators include subtle variations in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation under partly cloudy skies, and wind speeds influencing peak heating at O'Hare. Traders eye today's 00z model runs and NWS updates for potential refinements before resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high temperature in Chicago around 61-63°F on March 29, with 62-63°F (29.5%) narrowly leading 60-61°F (26.0%), reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means amid model spread of 2-5°F. This positioning follows a warm spell last week, including 70s highs on March 25 and recent records like 73°F earlier in the month, sustaining mild southerly flow despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern favoring cooler norms near 48°F. Key differentiators include subtle variations in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation under partly cloudy skies, and wind speeds influencing peak heating at O'Hare. Traders eye today's 00z model runs and NWS updates for potential refinements before resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high temperature in Chicago around 61-63°F on March 29, with 62-63°F (29.5%) narrowly leading 60-61°F (26.0%), reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means amid model spread of 2-5°F. This positioning follows a warm spell last week, including 70s highs on March 25 and recent records like 73°F earlier in the month, sustaining mild southerly flow despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern favoring cooler norms near 48°F. Key differentiators include subtle variations in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation under partly cloudy skies, and wind speeds influencing peak heating at O'Hare. Traders eye today's 00z model runs and NWS updates for potential refinements before resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high temperature in Chicago around 61-63°F on March 29, with 62-63°F (29.5%) narrowly leading 60-61°F (26.0%), reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means amid model spread of 2-5°F. This positioning follows a warm spell last week, including 70s highs on March 25 and recent records like 73°F earlier in the month, sustaining mild southerly flow despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern favoring cooler norms near 48°F. Key differentiators include subtle variations in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation under partly cloudy skies, and wind speeds influencing peak heating at O'Hare. Traders eye today's 00z model runs and NWS updates for potential refinements before resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "62-63°F" con 28%, seguido de "60-61°F" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" ha generado $18.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" es "62-63°F" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "60-61°F" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.