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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

62-63°F 25%

60-61°F 22%

64-65°F 21%

58-59°F 15%

Polymarket

$20,193 Vol.

62-63°F 25%

60-61°F 22%

64-65°F 21%

58-59°F 15%

Polymarket

$20,193 Vol.

53°F o menos

$4,649 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$1,456 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$2,286 Vol.

4%

58-59°F

$1,727 Vol.

15%

60-61°F

$1,614 Vol.

22%

62-63°F

$1,214 Vol.

25%

64-65°F

$1,152 Vol.

21%

66-67°F

$976 Vol.

7%

68-69°F

$953 Vol.

3%

70-71°F

$1,399 Vol.

2%

72°F or higher

$2,812 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Chicago O'Hare forecasts a high near 62°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies with southwesterly winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the 60-65°F range where probabilities cluster tightly at 20.5-25.5%. This reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing ensemble means in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by ridging aloft advecting mild air after a cooler March 28 high near 49°F, amid neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions exceeding the late-March climatological average of 48°F. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in diurnal boundary layer heating, transient cloud cover, and peak insolation timing, which introduce 2-3°F uncertainty typical of spring short-range forecasts. Watch for 00Z/12Z model updates and morning soundings before resolution on official O'Hare observations.

The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Chicago O'Hare forecasts a high near 62°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies with southwesterly winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the 60-65°F range where probabilities cluster tightly at 20.5-25.5%. This reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing ensemble means in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by ridging aloft advecting mild air after a cooler March 28 high near 49°F, amid neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions exceeding the late-March climatological average of 48°F. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in diurnal boundary layer heating, transient cloud cover, and peak insolation timing, which introduce 2-3°F uncertainty typical of spring short-range forecasts. Watch for 00Z/12Z model updates and morning soundings before resolution on official O'Hare observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Chicago O'Hare forecasts a high near 62°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies with southwesterly winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the 60-65°F range where probabilities cluster tightly at 20.5-25.5%. This reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing ensemble means in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by ridging aloft advecting mild air after a cooler March 28 high near 49°F, amid neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions exceeding the late-March climatological average of 48°F. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in diurnal boundary layer heating, transient cloud cover, and peak insolation timing, which introduce 2-3°F uncertainty typical of spring short-range forecasts. Watch for 00Z/12Z model updates and morning soundings before resolution on official O'Hare observations.

The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Chicago O'Hare forecasts a high near 62°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies with southwesterly winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the 60-65°F range where probabilities cluster tightly at 20.5-25.5%. This reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing ensemble means in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by ridging aloft advecting mild air after a cooler March 28 high near 49°F, amid neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions exceeding the late-March climatological average of 48°F. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in diurnal boundary layer heating, transient cloud cover, and peak insolation timing, which introduce 2-3°F uncertainty typical of spring short-range forecasts. Watch for 00Z/12Z model updates and morning soundings before resolution on official O'Hare observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "62-63°F" con 25%, seguido de "60-61°F" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" ha generado $20.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" es "62-63°F" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "60-61°F" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.