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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?

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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

48-49°F 36%

46-47°F 22%

50-51°F 22%

44-45°F 11%

Polymarket

$66,863 Vol.

48-49°F 36%

46-47°F 22%

50-51°F 22%

44-45°F 11%

Polymarket

$66,863 Vol.

43°F or below

$8,887 Vol.

2%

44-45°F

$3,878 Vol.

11%

46-47°F

$3,313 Vol.

22%

48-49°F

$3,160 Vol.

36%

50-51°F

$2,740 Vol.

22%

52-53°F

$3,958 Vol.

6%

54-55°F

$4,011 Vol.

2%

56-57°F

$4,627 Vol.

1%

58-59°F

$6,150 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$2,882 Vol.

<1%

62°F or higher

$23,321 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest National Weather Service guidance and consensus from GFS and ECMWF model ensembles position Chicago's highest temperature on March 28 at 48-49°F (35.5% market-implied probability), driven by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Midwest delivering mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds around 5-10 mph, and sufficient insolation for slight warming above the late-March climatological normal of 46°F at O'Hare International Airport. Recent 00Z/12Z runs show tight clustering in the upper 40s, a moderation from early March's anomalous warmth peaking at 77°F on March 21 amid variable spring patterns influenced by lingering Arctic air masses. Probabilities spread to 46-47°F (22%) and 50-51°F (21%) reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud development or boundary layer mixing; hourly observations through evening will determine the official high, with any 18Z model shift potentially adjusting trader positions.

The latest National Weather Service guidance and consensus from GFS and ECMWF model ensembles position Chicago's highest temperature on March 28 at 48-49°F (35.5% market-implied probability), driven by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Midwest delivering mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds around 5-10 mph, and sufficient insolation for slight warming above the late-March climatological normal of 46°F at O'Hare International Airport. Recent 00Z/12Z runs show tight clustering in the upper 40s, a moderation from early March's anomalous warmth peaking at 77°F on March 21 amid variable spring patterns influenced by lingering Arctic air masses. Probabilities spread to 46-47°F (22%) and 50-51°F (21%) reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud development or boundary layer mixing; hourly observations through evening will determine the official high, with any 18Z model shift potentially adjusting trader positions.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest National Weather Service guidance and consensus from GFS and ECMWF model ensembles position Chicago's highest temperature on March 28 at 48-49°F (35.5% market-implied probability), driven by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Midwest delivering mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds around 5-10 mph, and sufficient insolation for slight warming above the late-March climatological normal of 46°F at O'Hare International Airport. Recent 00Z/12Z runs show tight clustering in the upper 40s, a moderation from early March's anomalous warmth peaking at 77°F on March 21 amid variable spring patterns influenced by lingering Arctic air masses. Probabilities spread to 46-47°F (22%) and 50-51°F (21%) reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud development or boundary layer mixing; hourly observations through evening will determine the official high, with any 18Z model shift potentially adjusting trader positions.

The latest National Weather Service guidance and consensus from GFS and ECMWF model ensembles position Chicago's highest temperature on March 28 at 48-49°F (35.5% market-implied probability), driven by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Midwest delivering mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds around 5-10 mph, and sufficient insolation for slight warming above the late-March climatological normal of 46°F at O'Hare International Airport. Recent 00Z/12Z runs show tight clustering in the upper 40s, a moderation from early March's anomalous warmth peaking at 77°F on March 21 amid variable spring patterns influenced by lingering Arctic air masses. Probabilities spread to 46-47°F (22%) and 50-51°F (21%) reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud development or boundary layer mixing; hourly observations through evening will determine the official high, with any 18Z model shift potentially adjusting trader positions.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "48-49°F" con 36%, seguido de "46-47°F" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" ha generado $66.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" es "48-49°F" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "46-47°F" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.