Market icon

Highest temperature in Beijing on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Beijing on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

21°C 49%

22°C 26%

20°C 13%

23°C 8.8%

Polymarket

$56,024 Vol.

21°C 49%

22°C 26%

20°C 13%

23°C 8.8%

Polymarket

$56,024 Vol.

16°C or below

$7,207 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$4,612 Vol.

<1%

18°C

$5,900 Vol.

1%

19°C

$5,215 Vol.

2%

20°C

$2,724 Vol.

13%

21°C

$3,710 Vol.

49%

22°C

$5,474 Vol.

26%

23°C

$6,890 Vol.

9%

24°C

$4,030 Vol.

3%

25°C

$3,116 Vol.

<1%

26°C or higher

$7,199 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Beijing high temperature of around 21°C today, driving trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C close behind at 24.5%. This positioning reflects a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly winds (SSE at 11 km/h), building on recent observations of 18–20°C highs on March 26–27 amid a spring warming trend above the late-March climatological average of 13°C. Increasing afternoon clouds and 25% precipitation risk introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 23°C, while urban heat island effects at official stations could nudge readings higher. Hourly China Meteorological Administration updates through evening will refine the outlook as the market nears resolution based on verified station data.

Ensemble forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Beijing high temperature of around 21°C today, driving trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C close behind at 24.5%. This positioning reflects a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly winds (SSE at 11 km/h), building on recent observations of 18–20°C highs on March 26–27 amid a spring warming trend above the late-March climatological average of 13°C. Increasing afternoon clouds and 25% precipitation risk introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 23°C, while urban heat island effects at official stations could nudge readings higher. Hourly China Meteorological Administration updates through evening will refine the outlook as the market nears resolution based on verified station data.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Beijing high temperature of around 21°C today, driving trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C close behind at 24.5%. This positioning reflects a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly winds (SSE at 11 km/h), building on recent observations of 18–20°C highs on March 26–27 amid a spring warming trend above the late-March climatological average of 13°C. Increasing afternoon clouds and 25% precipitation risk introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 23°C, while urban heat island effects at official stations could nudge readings higher. Hourly China Meteorological Administration updates through evening will refine the outlook as the market nears resolution based on verified station data.

Ensemble forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Beijing high temperature of around 21°C today, driving trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C close behind at 24.5%. This positioning reflects a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly winds (SSE at 11 km/h), building on recent observations of 18–20°C highs on March 26–27 amid a spring warming trend above the late-March climatological average of 13°C. Increasing afternoon clouds and 25% precipitation risk introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 23°C, while urban heat island effects at official stations could nudge readings higher. Hourly China Meteorological Administration updates through evening will refine the outlook as the market nears resolution based on verified station data.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Beijing on March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "21°C" con 49%, seguido de "22°C" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Beijing on March 28?" ha generado $56K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Beijing on March 28?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Beijing on March 28?" es "21°C" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "22°C" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Beijing on March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.