Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-114 tweets from March 23-25, 2026, with 65-89 and 90-114 ranges each at 28.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent high-volume cadence of 20-40 posts daily amid political rallies and Tesla updates. Recent 2024 peaks exceeding 100 tweets during election fervor underscore his event-driven spikes, yet post-election lulls around 15-25 daily suggest baseline restraint absent major catalysts like SpaceX launches or controversies. Competitive dynamics hinge on 2026's unpredictable calendar—quiet periods bolster 40-64 (12.5%), while viral memes or Trump-era echoes could propel 115+ bins. Traders weigh this volatility against consistent X dominance shaping pop culture discourse.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado90-114 29%
65-89 29%
115-139 19%
40-64 12%
$68,019 Vol.
$68,019 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
12%
65-89
29%
90-114
29%
115-139
19%
140-164
7%
165-189
4%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
90-114 29%
65-89 29%
115-139 19%
40-64 12%
$68,019 Vol.
$68,019 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
12%
65-89
29%
90-114
29%
115-139
19%
140-164
7%
165-189
4%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-114 tweets from March 23-25, 2026, with 65-89 and 90-114 ranges each at 28.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent high-volume cadence of 20-40 posts daily amid political rallies and Tesla updates. Recent 2024 peaks exceeding 100 tweets during election fervor underscore his event-driven spikes, yet post-election lulls around 15-25 daily suggest baseline restraint absent major catalysts like SpaceX launches or controversies. Competitive dynamics hinge on 2026's unpredictable calendar—quiet periods bolster 40-64 (12.5%), while viral memes or Trump-era echoes could propel 115+ bins. Traders weigh this volatility against consistent X dominance shaping pop culture discourse.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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