The closely matched probabilities among leading contenders for the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination reflect the early phase of the presidential cycle, where no presumptive nominee has emerged and a wide array of elected officials, public figures, and long-shot names remain in play. With top options clustered tightly, traders appear to be pricing in substantial uncertainty around future primary dynamics, endorsement patterns, and coalition-building within the party. Recent developments such as post-2024 positioning by Senate and gubernatorial figures have not yet produced decisive separation, while historical patterns show vice-presidential selections often crystallize only after the presidential nomination is secured. Scheduled events including the 2026 midterms, state-level contests, and early fundraising or polling trends could begin to shift implied probabilities by clarifying viable paths to the ticket.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNominado a vicepresidente demócrata 2028
Jon Stewart 20.0%
Zohran Mamdani 17.4%
Oprah Winfrey 15.7%
George Clooney 15.5%
$16,117 Vol.
$16,117 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
8%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
4%
Michelle Obama
4%
Mark Kelly
3%
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
1%
Jared Polis
1%
Jon Stewart
20%
Barack Obama
14%
Hillary Clinton
14%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
15%
Phil Murphy
11%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
8%
George Clooney
15%
Chelsea Clinton
14%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
11%
Oprah Winfrey
16%
Andrew Yang
2%
Beto O’Rourke
14%
Kim Kardashian
15%
Chris Murphy
12%
Ruben Gallego
7%
Ro Khanna
11%
James Talarico
21%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
Jon Stewart 20.0%
Zohran Mamdani 17.4%
Oprah Winfrey 15.7%
George Clooney 15.5%
$16,117 Vol.
$16,117 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
8%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
4%
Michelle Obama
4%
Mark Kelly
3%
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
1%
Jared Polis
1%
Jon Stewart
20%
Barack Obama
14%
Hillary Clinton
14%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
15%
Phil Murphy
11%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
8%
George Clooney
15%
Chelsea Clinton
14%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
11%
Oprah Winfrey
16%
Andrew Yang
2%
Beto O’Rourke
14%
Kim Kardashian
15%
Chris Murphy
12%
Ruben Gallego
7%
Ro Khanna
11%
James Talarico
21%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities among leading contenders for the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination reflect the early phase of the presidential cycle, where no presumptive nominee has emerged and a wide array of elected officials, public figures, and long-shot names remain in play. With top options clustered tightly, traders appear to be pricing in substantial uncertainty around future primary dynamics, endorsement patterns, and coalition-building within the party. Recent developments such as post-2024 positioning by Senate and gubernatorial figures have not yet produced decisive separation, while historical patterns show vice-presidential selections often crystallize only after the presidential nomination is secured. Scheduled events including the 2026 midterms, state-level contests, and early fundraising or polling trends could begin to shift implied probabilities by clarifying viable paths to the ticket.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes