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Margen de victoria en las elecciones presidenciales de Costa Rica: primera ronda

Market icon

Margen de victoria en las elecciones presidenciales de Costa Rica: primera ronda

Delgado 6%+ 100.0%

Delgado <2% <1%

Delgado 2-4% <1%

Delgado 4-6% <1%

Polymarket

$137,372 Vol.

Delgado 6%+ 100.0%

Delgado <2% <1%

Delgado 2-4% <1%

Delgado 4-6% <1%

Polymarket

$137,372 Vol.

Delgado <2%

$19,567 Vol.

No

Delgado 2-4%

$14,521 Vol.

No

Delgado 4-6%

$16,135 Vol.

No

Delgado 6%+

$51,020 Vol.

Sí

Dobles <2%

$4,751 Vol.

No

Dobles 2-4%

$5,230 Vol.

No

Dobles 4%+

$4,847 Vol.

No

Victoria de Berrocal

$6,419 Vol.

No

Victoria de Chaves

$6,526 Vol.

No

Victoria de Bogantes

$3,609 Vol.

No

Otro

$4,749 Vol.

No

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Costa Rican Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).
Volumen
$137,372
Fecha de finalización
Feb 1, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Costa Rican Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Margen de victoria en las elecciones presidenciales de Costa Rica: primera ronda" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Delgado 6%+" at 100%, followed by "Delgado <2%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Margen de victoria en las elecciones presidenciales de Costa Rica: primera ronda" has generated $137.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Margen de victoria en las elecciones presidenciales de Costa Rica: primera ronda," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Margen de victoria en las elecciones presidenciales de Costa Rica: primera ronda" is "Delgado 6%+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Delgado <2%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Margen de victoria en las elecciones presidenciales de Costa Rica: primera ronda" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.