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Política·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Rovigo

icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Rovigo
Política·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Rovigo

Alberto Di Rubba 100.0%

Giacomo Bovolenta <1%

Giuseppe Padoan <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Alberto Di Rubba 100.0%

Giacomo Bovolenta <1%

Giuseppe Padoan <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

icon for Alberto Di Rubba

Alberto Di Rubba

$0 Vol.

Yes

icon for Giacomo Bovolenta

Giacomo Bovolenta

$0 Vol.

No

icon for Giuseppe Padoan

Giuseppe Padoan

$0 Vol.

No

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
23 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
23 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Rovigo" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Alberto Di Rubba" con 100%, seguido de "Giacomo Bovolenta" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Rovigo" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 11, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Rovigo", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Rovigo" es "Alberto Di Rubba" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Giacomo Bovolenta" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Rovigo" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.