Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of England base rate hold at 100.0% for the March 20 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation pressures that have tempered cut expectations. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in January but services inflation lingers near 5%, exceeding the 2% target, while wage growth at 5.2% signals persistent demand. Weak Q4 GDP contraction of 0.3% adds caution, as policymakers prioritize anchoring inflation amid global uncertainties like U.S. policy shifts. This positioning could unwind if February CPI (released March 19) surprises lower or labor data softens dramatically, prompting a dovish pivot toward a 25 bps cut with odds below 0.2%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en marzo?
¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en marzo?
Sin cambios 100.0%
Disminución de más de 50 pb <1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Aumento <1%
$129,865 Vol.
$129,865 Vol.
Mar 19, 2026
Disminución de más de 50 pb
No
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
No
Sin cambios
Sí
Aumento
No
Sin cambios 100.0%
Disminución de más de 50 pb <1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Aumento <1%
$129,865 Vol.
$129,865 Vol.
Mar 19, 2026
Disminución de más de 50 pb
$0 Vol.
No
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
$0 Vol.
No
Sin cambios
$129,865 Vol.
Sí
Aumento
$0 Vol.
No
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of England base rate hold at 100.0% for the March 20 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation pressures that have tempered cut expectations. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in January but services inflation lingers near 5%, exceeding the 2% target, while wage growth at 5.2% signals persistent demand. Weak Q4 GDP contraction of 0.3% adds caution, as policymakers prioritize anchoring inflation amid global uncertainties like U.S. policy shifts. This positioning could unwind if February CPI (released March 19) surprises lower or labor data softens dramatically, prompting a dovish pivot toward a 25 bps cut with odds below 0.2%.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Dec 18, 2025, 3:49 PM ET
Volumen
$129,865Fecha de finalización
Mar 19, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of England base rate hold at 100.0% for the March 20 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation pressures that have tempered cut expectations. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in January but services inflation lingers near 5%, exceeding the 2% target, while wage growth at 5.2% signals persistent demand. Weak Q4 GDP contraction of 0.3% adds caution, as policymakers prioritize anchoring inflation amid global uncertainties like U.S. policy shifts. This positioning could unwind if February CPI (released March 19) surprises lower or labor data softens dramatically, prompting a dovish pivot toward a 25 bps cut with odds below 0.2%.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$129,865Fecha de finalización
Mar 19, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of England base rate hold at 100.0% for the March 20 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation pressures that have tempered cut expectations. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in January but services inflation lingers near 5%, exceeding the 2% target, while wage growth at 5.2% signals persistent demand. Weak Q4 GDP contraction of 0.3% adds caution, as policymakers prioritize anchoring inflation amid global uncertainties like U.S. policy shifts. This positioning could unwind if February CPI (released March 19) surprises lower or labor data softens dramatically, prompting a dovish pivot toward a 25 bps cut with odds below 0.2%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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