Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en marzo?
¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en marzo?
Disminuir 100.0%
Aumento <1%
Sin cambios <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 17, 2026
Aumento
No
Sin cambios
No
Disminuir
Sí
Disminuir 100.0%
Aumento <1%
Sin cambios <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 17, 2026
Aumento
$0 Vol.
No
Sin cambios
$0 Vol.
No
Disminuir
$0 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 17, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 17, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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