In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus gives Democrat Tom Begich a narrow 25% implied probability lead, reflecting his strong showing in a February Lake Research Partners poll (22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds) and $350,000 early fundraising haul, while a crowded Republican field—including former Attorney General Treg Taylor (18.1%), businesswoman Bernadette Wilson (14.5%), and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries (10.3%)—splits support ahead of the August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice general. Incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit creates uncertainty, with high undecideds and fragmented GOP fundraising (Taylor at $880,000, Wilson six figures) keeping the contest tight despite Solid Republican race ratings; candidate consolidations, endorsements, or fresh polls before the June 1 filing deadline could create separation in this volatile top-four dynamic.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTom Begich 25%
Bernadette Wilson 15%
Edna DeVries 9.1%
Nancy Dahlstrom 9%
$385,178 Vol.
$385,178 Vol.

Tom Begich
25%

Bernadette Wilson
15%

Edna DeVries
8%

Nancy Dahlstrom
9%

Treg Taylor
18%

James Parkin
5%

Lisa Murkowski
5%

Shelley Hughes
4%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
Tom Begich 25%
Bernadette Wilson 15%
Edna DeVries 9.1%
Nancy Dahlstrom 9%
$385,178 Vol.
$385,178 Vol.

Tom Begich
25%

Bernadette Wilson
15%

Edna DeVries
8%

Nancy Dahlstrom
9%

Treg Taylor
18%

James Parkin
5%

Lisa Murkowski
5%

Shelley Hughes
4%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus gives Democrat Tom Begich a narrow 25% implied probability lead, reflecting his strong showing in a February Lake Research Partners poll (22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds) and $350,000 early fundraising haul, while a crowded Republican field—including former Attorney General Treg Taylor (18.1%), businesswoman Bernadette Wilson (14.5%), and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries (10.3%)—splits support ahead of the August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice general. Incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit creates uncertainty, with high undecideds and fragmented GOP fundraising (Taylor at $880,000, Wilson six figures) keeping the contest tight despite Solid Republican race ratings; candidate consolidations, endorsements, or fresh polls before the June 1 filing deadline could create separation in this volatile top-four dynamic.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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