Trader consensus on Polymarket places former Alaska Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% to win the 2026 governor race, driven by his lead in the latest Lake Research Partners primary poll (22%, Feb. 5–11, 2026) amid a fragmented field of 14 candidates following incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit. Republican contenders like waste management founder Bernadette Wilson (14%, strong early six-figure fundraising and endorsements from Rep. Byron Donalds), Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%, executive experience), and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%, legal background) split conservative support, echoing GOP primary dynamics. Consolidation could occur via party endorsements, upcoming debates, or fresh polls before the August 18 nonpartisan blanket primary, where top four advance to ranked-choice general election on November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTom Begich 25%
Bernadette Wilson 14%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11%
Edna DeVries 9.1%
$374,200 Vol.
$374,200 Vol.

Tom Begich
25%

Bernadette Wilson
14%

Nancy Dahlstrom
11%

Edna DeVries
8%

Treg Taylor
11%

Lisa Murkowski
6%

James Parkin
5%

Shelley Hughes
5%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
Tom Begich 25%
Bernadette Wilson 14%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11%
Edna DeVries 9.1%
$374,200 Vol.
$374,200 Vol.

Tom Begich
25%

Bernadette Wilson
14%

Nancy Dahlstrom
11%

Edna DeVries
8%

Treg Taylor
11%

Lisa Murkowski
6%

James Parkin
5%

Shelley Hughes
5%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket places former Alaska Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% to win the 2026 governor race, driven by his lead in the latest Lake Research Partners primary poll (22%, Feb. 5–11, 2026) amid a fragmented field of 14 candidates following incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit. Republican contenders like waste management founder Bernadette Wilson (14%, strong early six-figure fundraising and endorsements from Rep. Byron Donalds), Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%, executive experience), and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%, legal background) split conservative support, echoing GOP primary dynamics. Consolidation could occur via party endorsements, upcoming debates, or fresh polls before the August 18 nonpartisan blanket primary, where top four advance to ranked-choice general election on November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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