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Política·Primarias

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Política·Primarias

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Rhett Marques 41%

Jerry Carl 40%

Joshua McKee 26%

John Mills 16%

Polymarket

$37,028 Vol.

Rhett Marques 41%

Jerry Carl 40%

Joshua McKee 26%

John Mills 16%

Polymarket

$37,028 Vol.

Rhett Marques

$0 Vol.

41%

Jerry Carl

$0 Vol.

40%

Joshua McKee

$0 Vol.

26%

John Mills

$14,754 Vol.

16%

James Dees

$3,737 Vol.

15%

James Richardson

$5,184 Vol.

14%

Austin Sidwell

$13,353 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the AL-01 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl and State Rep. Rhett Marques tied at 41.5% implied probability and James Dees close at 35%, as no candidate has pulled ahead ahead of the May 19 ballot. Carl, seeking a comeback after losing the 2024 primary to Barry Moore, showed an early February poll lead, but Marques has sustained a fundraising edge from late 2025 filings into 2026, fueling his momentum. Recent criticism of Carl's March 26 remark deeming the immigration system "too tight" has eroded his edge among conservative voters. With scant updated polling, the race stays tight; late endorsements, fresh surveys, or ad spending surges could consolidate support and create separation.

Trader consensus in the AL-01 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl and State Rep. Rhett Marques tied at 41.5% implied probability and James Dees close at 35%, as no candidate has pulled ahead ahead of the May 19 ballot. Carl, seeking a comeback after losing the 2024 primary to Barry Moore, showed an early February poll lead, but Marques has sustained a fundraising edge from late 2025 filings into 2026, fueling his momentum. Recent criticism of Carl's March 26 remark deeming the immigration system "too tight" has eroded his edge among conservative voters. With scant updated polling, the race stays tight; late endorsements, fresh surveys, or ad spending surges could consolidate support and create separation.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the AL-01 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl and State Rep. Rhett Marques tied at 41.5% implied probability and James Dees close at 35%, as no candidate has pulled ahead ahead of the May 19 ballot. Carl, seeking a comeback after losing the 2024 primary to Barry Moore, showed an early February poll lead, but Marques has sustained a fundraising edge from late 2025 filings into 2026, fueling his momentum. Recent criticism of Carl's March 26 remark deeming the immigration system "too tight" has eroded his edge among conservative voters. With scant updated polling, the race stays tight; late endorsements, fresh surveys, or ad spending surges could consolidate support and create separation.

Trader consensus in the AL-01 Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl and State Rep. Rhett Marques tied at 41.5% implied probability and James Dees close at 35%, as no candidate has pulled ahead ahead of the May 19 ballot. Carl, seeking a comeback after losing the 2024 primary to Barry Moore, showed an early February poll lead, but Marques has sustained a fundraising edge from late 2025 filings into 2026, fueling his momentum. Recent criticism of Carl's March 26 remark deeming the immigration system "too tight" has eroded his edge among conservative voters. With scant updated polling, the race stays tight; late endorsements, fresh surveys, or ad spending surges could consolidate support and create separation.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rhett Marques" con 41%, seguido de "Jerry Carl" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" ha generado $37K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" es "Rhett Marques" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jerry Carl" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.