U.S. national average gasoline prices surged above $4 per gallon by March 31, 2026—the highest since August 2022—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, which spiked West Texas Intermediate crude above $90 per barrel and disrupted global supply chains. AAA data shows the regular unleaded average climbing from $3.50 in early March to $4.02 by month's end, amplified by seasonal spring demand and tighter refinery margins. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by substantial volume, reflected this momentum through elevated implied probabilities on higher price thresholds, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing geopolitical risk premiums. Watch EIA's weekly petroleum status report on April 7 for post-March confirmation and potential moderation cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$637,038 Vol.
31. März 2026
↑ $5,00
<1%
↑ $4,50
<1%
↑ $4,25
<1%
↓ $3,15
<1%
↓ $3,10
<1%
↓ 3,05 $
<1%
↓ $3,00
<1%
$637,038 Vol.
↑ $5,00
$96,399 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4,50
$118,763 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4,25
$65,606 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3,15
$31,834 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3,10
$43,650 Vol.
<1%
↓ 3,05 $
$176,429 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3,00
$30,524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".U.S. national average gasoline prices surged above $4 per gallon by March 31, 2026—the highest since August 2022—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, which spiked West Texas Intermediate crude above $90 per barrel and disrupted global supply chains. AAA data shows the regular unleaded average climbing from $3.50 in early March to $4.02 by month's end, amplified by seasonal spring demand and tighter refinery margins. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by substantial volume, reflected this momentum through elevated implied probabilities on higher price thresholds, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing geopolitical risk premiums. Watch EIA's weekly petroleum status report on April 7 for post-March confirmation and potential moderation cues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Markt eröffnet: Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volumen
$637,038Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".U.S. national average gasoline prices surged above $4 per gallon by March 31, 2026—the highest since August 2022—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, which spiked West Texas Intermediate crude above $90 per barrel and disrupted global supply chains. AAA data shows the regular unleaded average climbing from $3.50 in early March to $4.02 by month's end, amplified by seasonal spring demand and tighter refinery margins. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by substantial volume, reflected this momentum through elevated implied probabilities on higher price thresholds, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing geopolitical risk premiums. Watch EIA's weekly petroleum status report on April 7 for post-March confirmation and potential moderation cues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Volumen
$637,038Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. national average gasoline prices surged above $4 per gallon by March 31, 2026—the highest since August 2022—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, which spiked West Texas Intermediate crude above $90 per barrel and disrupted global supply chains. AAA data shows the regular unleaded average climbing from $3.50 in early March to $4.02 by month's end, amplified by seasonal spring demand and tighter refinery margins. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by substantial volume, reflected this momentum through elevated implied probabilities on higher price thresholds, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing geopolitical risk premiums. Watch EIA's weekly petroleum status report on April 7 for post-March confirmation and potential moderation cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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