Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 100% implied probability for the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate steady at the March 20 meeting, driven by persistently low inflation within the 0-2% target range—January CPI rose just 0.4% year-over-year—and the SNB's explicit December guidance signaling a pause after aggressive 2024 cuts to 1%. This trader consensus, backed by substantial real-money positioning, aligns with subdued economic growth, a resilient Swiss franc curbing import inflation, and synchronized easing from the ECB and Fed reducing rate divergence pressures. Realistic challenges include an upside CPI surprise above 1% or global risk-off flows weakening the CHF, potentially prompting a cut, though precedent suggests the SNB prioritizes franc stability amid low volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEntscheid der Schweizerischen Nationalbank im März?
Entscheid der Schweizerischen Nationalbank im März?
Keine Änderung 100.0%
Senkung <1%
Erhöhung <1%
$26,473 Vol.
$26,473 Vol.
19. März 2026
Senkung
Nein
Keine Änderung
Ja
Erhöhung
Nein
Keine Änderung 100.0%
Senkung <1%
Erhöhung <1%
$26,473 Vol.
$26,473 Vol.
19. März 2026
Senkung
$17,018 Vol.
Nein
Keine Änderung
$9,454 Vol.
Ja
Erhöhung
$0 Vol.
Nein
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is scheduled to issue a press release for its in March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment, including a decision on the SNB Policy Rate, on March 19, 2026 (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule).
This market will resolve according to the change in the upper bound of the SNB Policy Rate as a result of the decision of this assessment versus the level it was prior to the SNB March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Swiss National Bank released after its March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment (https://www.snb.ch/en/the-snb/mandates-goals/monetary-policy/decisions); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Swiss National Banks's press release for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no SNB policy rate decision is issued by the end date of their next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 100% implied probability for the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate steady at the March 20 meeting, driven by persistently low inflation within the 0-2% target range—January CPI rose just 0.4% year-over-year—and the SNB's explicit December guidance signaling a pause after aggressive 2024 cuts to 1%. This trader consensus, backed by substantial real-money positioning, aligns with subdued economic growth, a resilient Swiss franc curbing import inflation, and synchronized easing from the ECB and Fed reducing rate divergence pressures. Realistic challenges include an upside CPI surprise above 1% or global risk-off flows weakening the CHF, potentially prompting a cut, though precedent suggests the SNB prioritizes franc stability amid low volatility.
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is scheduled to issue a press release for its in March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment, including a decision on the SNB Policy Rate, on March 19, 2026 (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule).
This market will resolve according to the change in the upper bound of the SNB Policy Rate as a result of the decision of this assessment versus the level it was prior to the SNB March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Swiss National Bank released after its March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment (https://www.snb.ch/en/the-snb/mandates-goals/monetary-policy/decisions); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Swiss National Banks's press release for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no SNB policy rate decision is issued by the end date of their next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the upper bound of the SNB Policy Rate as a result of the decision of this assessment versus the level it was prior to the SNB March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Swiss National Bank released after its March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment (https://www.snb.ch/en/the-snb/mandates-goals/monetary-policy/decisions); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Swiss National Banks's press release for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no SNB policy rate decision is issued by the end date of their next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$26,473Enddatum
19. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is scheduled to issue a press release for its in March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment, including a decision on the SNB Policy Rate, on March 19, 2026 (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule).
This market will resolve according to the change in the upper bound of the SNB Policy Rate as a result of the decision of this assessment versus the level it was prior to the SNB March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Swiss National Bank released after its March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment (https://www.snb.ch/en/the-snb/mandates-goals/monetary-policy/decisions); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Swiss National Banks's press release for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no SNB policy rate decision is issued by the end date of their next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 100% implied probability for the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate steady at the March 20 meeting, driven by persistently low inflation within the 0-2% target range—January CPI rose just 0.4% year-over-year—and the SNB's explicit December guidance signaling a pause after aggressive 2024 cuts to 1%. This trader consensus, backed by substantial real-money positioning, aligns with subdued economic growth, a resilient Swiss franc curbing import inflation, and synchronized easing from the ECB and Fed reducing rate divergence pressures. Realistic challenges include an upside CPI surprise above 1% or global risk-off flows weakening the CHF, potentially prompting a cut, though precedent suggests the SNB prioritizes franc stability amid low volatility.
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is scheduled to issue a press release for its in March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment, including a decision on the SNB Policy Rate, on March 19, 2026 (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule).
This market will resolve according to the change in the upper bound of the SNB Policy Rate as a result of the decision of this assessment versus the level it was prior to the SNB March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Swiss National Bank released after its March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment (https://www.snb.ch/en/the-snb/mandates-goals/monetary-policy/decisions); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Swiss National Banks's press release for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no SNB policy rate decision is issued by the end date of their next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the upper bound of the SNB Policy Rate as a result of the decision of this assessment versus the level it was prior to the SNB March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Swiss National Bank released after its March 2026 Monetary Policy Assessment (https://www.snb.ch/en/the-snb/mandates-goals/monetary-policy/decisions); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Swiss National Banks's press release for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no SNB policy rate decision is issued by the end date of their next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$26,473Enddatum
19. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 100% implied probability for the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate steady at the March 20 meeting, driven by persistently low inflation within the 0-2% target range—January CPI rose just 0.4% year-over-year—and the SNB's explicit December guidance signaling a pause after aggressive 2024 cuts to 1%. This trader consensus, backed by substantial real-money positioning, aligns with subdued economic growth, a resilient Swiss franc curbing import inflation, and synchronized easing from the ECB and Fed reducing rate divergence pressures. Realistic challenges include an upside CPI surprise above 1% or global risk-off flows weakening the CHF, potentially prompting a cut, though precedent suggests the SNB prioritizes franc stability amid low volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen