Market icon
Economy·NZ

Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of New Zealand im April?

Market icon
Economy·NZ

Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of New Zealand im April?

Apr. 7

Mai 27

Apr. 7

Mai 27

Keine Änderung 96.8%

Erhöhung 2.7%

Senkung <1%

Polymarket

$26,668 Vol.

Keine Änderung 96.8%

Erhöhung 2.7%

Senkung <1%

Polymarket

$26,668 Vol.

Senkung

$5,954 Vol.

<1%

Keine Änderung

$8,121 Vol.

97%

Erhöhung

$12,593 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Reserve Bank of New Zealand holding its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25%, with a 96.9% implied probability for no change at the April 8 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting Governor Anna Breman's recent speech signaling readiness to look through temporary energy-driven inflation shocks. December 2025 quarter CPI printed at 3.1%—above the 1-3% target band—yet core measures eased slightly amid a modestly recovering labor market, evidenced by February 2026 filled jobs rising 0.3% to 2.35 million. This positions the economy in stimulatory territory below neutral estimates of 3.00%, supporting a pause. Realistic challenges include entrenched inflation from prolonged global energy disruptions or hotter-than-expected Q1 data, potentially prompting an earlier hike signaled for May.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$26,668
Enddatum
7. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Reserve Bank of New Zealand holding its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25%, with a 96.9% implied probability for no change at the April 8 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting Governor Anna Breman's recent speech signaling readiness to look through temporary energy-driven inflation shocks. December 2025 quarter CPI printed at 3.1%—above the 1-3% target band—yet core measures eased slightly amid a modestly recovering labor market, evidenced by February 2026 filled jobs rising 0.3% to 2.35 million. This positions the economy in stimulatory territory below neutral estimates of 3.00%, supporting a pause. Realistic challenges include entrenched inflation from prolonged global energy disruptions or hotter-than-expected Q1 data, potentially prompting an earlier hike signaled for May.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$26,668
Enddatum
7. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of New Zealand im April?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keine Änderung" mit 97%, gefolgt von „Erhöhung" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 97¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of New Zealand im April?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $26.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 29, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of New Zealand im April?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of New Zealand im April?" ist „Keine Änderung" mit 97%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Erhöhung" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of New Zealand im April?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.