The Bank of England’s June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting is overwhelmingly priced by traders for no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting the central bank’s recent sequence of holds and the temporary upward pressure on CPI inflation to 2.8% from Middle East energy supply disruptions. Softer underlying growth and a cooling labor market have kept policy on hold despite the target overshoot, with the BoE focused on monitoring second-round effects from higher fuel and utility costs rather than immediate tightening or easing. Consensus forecasts from economists align with this outcome through year-end, though elevated geopolitical risks could still shift the inflation path. A sharper-than-expected deterioration in wage data or a rapid resolution of energy volatility ahead of the meeting remain the main swing factors that could alter near-term odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEntscheidung der Bank of England im Juni?
Keine Änderung 98.8%
Erhöhung um 25 Basispunkte 1.1%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte <1%
Erhöhung um mehr als 50 Basispunkte <1%
$281,289 Vol.
$281,289 Vol.
Senkung um mehr als 50 Basispunkte
<1%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte
<1%
Keine Änderung
99%
Erhöhung um 25 Basispunkte
1%
Erhöhung um mehr als 50 Basispunkte
<1%
Keine Änderung 98.8%
Erhöhung um 25 Basispunkte 1.1%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte <1%
Erhöhung um mehr als 50 Basispunkte <1%
$281,289 Vol.
$281,289 Vol.
Senkung um mehr als 50 Basispunkte
<1%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte
<1%
Keine Änderung
99%
Erhöhung um 25 Basispunkte
1%
Erhöhung um mehr als 50 Basispunkte
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting is overwhelmingly priced by traders for no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting the central bank’s recent sequence of holds and the temporary upward pressure on CPI inflation to 2.8% from Middle East energy supply disruptions. Softer underlying growth and a cooling labor market have kept policy on hold despite the target overshoot, with the BoE focused on monitoring second-round effects from higher fuel and utility costs rather than immediate tightening or easing. Consensus forecasts from economists align with this outcome through year-end, though elevated geopolitical risks could still shift the inflation path. A sharper-than-expected deterioration in wage data or a rapid resolution of energy volatility ahead of the meeting remain the main swing factors that could alter near-term odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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