No active criminal charges or trials against Prince Andrew in the UK or US Epstein-related cases underpin the 89% implied probability for no prison sentence, reflecting trader consensus on the unlikelihood of prosecution. UK police concluded their 2015 inquiry without action, and the 2022 civil settlement with accuser Virginia Giuffre resolved private claims without admitting liability or triggering criminal probes. Recent unsealed Epstein court documents in January 2024 reiterated associations but yielded no indictments from authorities like the Crown Prosecution Service or US Justice Department. Absent scheduled hearings or official announcements, markets price in continued legal stasis amid expired statutes and diplomatic sensitivities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$198,619 Vol.
$198,619 Vol.
Ja
$198,619 Vol.
$198,619 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No active criminal charges or trials against Prince Andrew in the UK or US Epstein-related cases underpin the 89% implied probability for no prison sentence, reflecting trader consensus on the unlikelihood of prosecution. UK police concluded their 2015 inquiry without action, and the 2022 civil settlement with accuser Virginia Giuffre resolved private claims without admitting liability or triggering criminal probes. Recent unsealed Epstein court documents in January 2024 reiterated associations but yielded no indictments from authorities like the Crown Prosecution Service or US Justice Department. Absent scheduled hearings or official announcements, markets price in continued legal stasis amid expired statutes and diplomatic sensitivities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen