Trader consensus heavily favors no presidential pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 at 93.5%, driven by the absence of any statements from President-elect Trump or his transition team signaling interest, despite his decisive 2024 victory restoring pardon authority after January 20, 2025 inauguration. Maxwell's 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking in the Jeffrey Epstein case remains intact following her failed initial appeals, with a key Second Circuit ruling pending but unlikely to overturn the conviction fully. Trump's past pardons targeted political allies like Steve Bannon, not Epstein-linked figures, amid potential backlash risks; no recent developments, such as endorsements or legal maneuvers, have shifted this low-probability assessment ahead of early 2025 transition priorities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$505,061 Vol.
$505,061 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ja
$505,061 Vol.
$505,061 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volumen
$505,061Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$505,061Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus heavily favors no presidential pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 at 93.5%, driven by the absence of any statements from President-elect Trump or his transition team signaling interest, despite his decisive 2024 victory restoring pardon authority after January 20, 2025 inauguration. Maxwell's 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking in the Jeffrey Epstein case remains intact following her failed initial appeals, with a key Second Circuit ruling pending but unlikely to overturn the conviction fully. Trump's past pardons targeted political allies like Steve Bannon, not Epstein-linked figures, amid potential backlash risks; no recent developments, such as endorsements or legal maneuvers, have shifted this low-probability assessment ahead of early 2025 transition priorities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen