Polymarket traders price near-equal implied probabilities of 48.5% across no change, decrease, or increase for Banco de México's June 25 target rate decision, reflecting deep uncertainty following the central bank's surprise 25 basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26—a split 3-2 vote despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.02% year-over-year in February from 3.79% in January. This dovish move, resuming easing amid soft economic activity and low loan growth, contrasts with persistent core inflation pressures and geopolitical risks, balancing cut incentives against potential hikes if price data worsens. Banxico maintains 2026-end inflation forecasts at 3.5% headline and 3.4% core, targeting 3%; watch April CPI and Q1 GDP for swing factors ahead of intervening meetings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
Decrease 49%
Increase 47%
No change 45%
Decrease
49%
No change
45%
Increase
47%
Decrease 49%
Increase 47%
No change 45%
Decrease
49%
No change
45%
Increase
47%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price near-equal implied probabilities of 48.5% across no change, decrease, or increase for Banco de México's June 25 target rate decision, reflecting deep uncertainty following the central bank's surprise 25 basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26—a split 3-2 vote despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.02% year-over-year in February from 3.79% in January. This dovish move, resuming easing amid soft economic activity and low loan growth, contrasts with persistent core inflation pressures and geopolitical risks, balancing cut incentives against potential hikes if price data worsens. Banxico maintains 2026-end inflation forecasts at 3.5% headline and 3.4% core, targeting 3%; watch April CPI and Q1 GDP for swing factors ahead of intervening meetings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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