Consensus weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international forecasters like ECMWF pin Tel Aviv's March 24 high at precisely 20°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome amid mild spring conditions. Historical data shows March averages around 19-21°C, with current upper-air patterns favoring stable, moderate temperatures under partly cloudy skies and light northerlies suppressing heat advection. Trader sentiment reflects low volatility in short-range guidance, with ensemble spreads under 2°C. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen shift to southerly winds accelerating Saharan air incursions or prolonged sunshine eroding marine layer cooling, potentially pushing highs to 23°C—but such deviations occur in under 5% of similar setups per climatology.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 24, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 24, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
No
14°C
$0 Vol.
No
15°C
$0 Vol.
No
16°C
$0 Vol.
No
17°C
$0 Vol.
No
18°C
$0 Vol.
No
19°C
$0 Vol.
No
20°C
$0 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$0 Vol.
No
22°C
$0 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Consensus weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international forecasters like ECMWF pin Tel Aviv's March 24 high at precisely 20°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome amid mild spring conditions. Historical data shows March averages around 19-21°C, with current upper-air patterns favoring stable, moderate temperatures under partly cloudy skies and light northerlies suppressing heat advection. Trader sentiment reflects low volatility in short-range guidance, with ensemble spreads under 2°C. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen shift to southerly winds accelerating Saharan air incursions or prolonged sunshine eroding marine layer cooling, potentially pushing highs to 23°C—but such deviations occur in under 5% of similar setups per climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Mar 24, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Consensus weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international forecasters like ECMWF pin Tel Aviv's March 24 high at precisely 20°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome amid mild spring conditions. Historical data shows March averages around 19-21°C, with current upper-air patterns favoring stable, moderate temperatures under partly cloudy skies and light northerlies suppressing heat advection. Trader sentiment reflects low volatility in short-range guidance, with ensemble spreads under 2°C. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen shift to southerly winds accelerating Saharan air incursions or prolonged sunshine eroding marine layer cooling, potentially pushing highs to 23°C—but such deviations occur in under 5% of similar setups per climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Mar 24, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Consensus weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international forecasters like ECMWF pin Tel Aviv's March 24 high at precisely 20°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome amid mild spring conditions. Historical data shows March averages around 19-21°C, with current upper-air patterns favoring stable, moderate temperatures under partly cloudy skies and light northerlies suppressing heat advection. Trader sentiment reflects low volatility in short-range guidance, with ensemble spreads under 2°C. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen shift to southerly winds accelerating Saharan air incursions or prolonged sunshine eroding marine layer cooling, potentially pushing highs to 23°C—but such deviations occur in under 5% of similar setups per climatology.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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