Trader consensus pins 22°C as Taipei's highest temperature on March 21 at virtually 100% implied probability, anchored by official daily maximum readings from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration at stations like Songshan Airport, confirming no exceedance amid cloudy, stable conditions. March norms in Taipei average 19-23°C highs, with recent ECMWF and GFS model outputs forecasting 21-23°C peaks that aligned precisely as real-time observations rolled in, showing diurnal highs stabilizing below 23°C under weak southerly flows. Scenarios challenging this—such as a delayed rural station report or measurement anomaly—remain improbable given rigorous verification protocols and uniform metro-area data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 21?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 21?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,115 Vol.
$25,115 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,115 Vol.
$25,115 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
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Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins 22°C as Taipei's highest temperature on March 21 at virtually 100% implied probability, anchored by official daily maximum readings from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration at stations like Songshan Airport, confirming no exceedance amid cloudy, stable conditions. March norms in Taipei average 19-23°C highs, with recent ECMWF and GFS model outputs forecasting 21-23°C peaks that aligned precisely as real-time observations rolled in, showing diurnal highs stabilizing below 23°C under weak southerly flows. Scenarios challenging this—such as a delayed rural station report or measurement anomaly—remain improbable given rigorous verification protocols and uniform metro-area data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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