Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 24. März?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 24. März?
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F oder darunter <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
37°F oder darunter
Nein
38-39°F
Nein
40-41°F
Nein
42-43°F
Nein
44-45°F
Nein
46-47°F
Nein
48-49°F
Ja
50-51°F
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56°F oder höher
Nein
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F oder darunter <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
37°F oder darunter
Nein
38-39°F
Nein
40-41°F
Nein
42-43°F
Nein
44-45°F
Nein
46-47°F
Nein
48-49°F
Ja
50-51°F
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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