Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature in Munich on March 28 around 9°C (31.5%) or 10°C (25.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing mean highs of 8-10°C amid uncertain cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary stalling over Central Europe. Recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow persisting but with potential for cooler northerly winds if the jet stream dips southward, creating the tight race between these outcomes; 8°C (17.5%) gains traction on drier, clearer skies scenarios. Historical March data for Munich Airport station averages 9-11°C highs, aligning with current guidance. DWD updates expected in 24-48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 28. März?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 28. März?
9°C 31%
10°C 26%
8°C 24%
11°C 9.5%
5°C oder weniger
6%
6°C
5%
7°C
8%
8°C
24%
9°C
31%
10°C
26%
11°C
10%
12°C
5%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C oder höher
1%
9°C 31%
10°C 26%
8°C 24%
11°C 9.5%
5°C oder weniger
6%
6°C
5%
7°C
8%
8°C
24%
9°C
31%
10°C
26%
11°C
10%
12°C
5%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature in Munich on March 28 around 9°C (31.5%) or 10°C (25.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing mean highs of 8-10°C amid uncertain cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary stalling over Central Europe. Recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow persisting but with potential for cooler northerly winds if the jet stream dips southward, creating the tight race between these outcomes; 8°C (17.5%) gains traction on drier, clearer skies scenarios. Historical March data for Munich Airport station averages 9-11°C highs, aligning with current guidance. DWD updates expected in 24-48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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