Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (29.5%) and 80-81°F (27.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast ensembles from NOAA models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peaks of 81-83°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This setup features light southerly winds and ample sunshine early in the day, promoting highs above the late-March climatological average of 79°F, but afternoon sea-breeze convergence risks introducing cumulus clouds and isolated showers that could cap temperatures in the 80s. Recent soundings confirm dry air aloft limiting deep convection, though model runs diverge on cloud timing by 1-2 hours—a key differentiator. New 12z forecasts expected midday could refine this uncertainty as the date nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 28%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 15%
$17,870 Vol.
$17,870 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 28%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 15%
$17,870 Vol.
$17,870 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (29.5%) and 80-81°F (27.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast ensembles from NOAA models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peaks of 81-83°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This setup features light southerly winds and ample sunshine early in the day, promoting highs above the late-March climatological average of 79°F, but afternoon sea-breeze convergence risks introducing cumulus clouds and isolated showers that could cap temperatures in the 80s. Recent soundings confirm dry air aloft limiting deep convection, though model runs diverge on cloud timing by 1-2 hours—a key differentiator. New 12z forecasts expected midday could refine this uncertainty as the date nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen