Trader sentiment clusters tightly around mid-60s highs for Chicago's March 26 maximum temperature, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and NWS ensemble forecasts showing GFS and ECMWF models converging on 64-67°F peaks amid a building upper-level ridge fostering warm advection. Differentiating factors include timing of a weak cold front—potentially capping at 64-65°F if arriving midday versus 66-67°F with delayed onset—and variable cloud cover from lingering Great Lakes moisture, per SREF probabilistic outputs. Historical March 26 norms hover near 48°F, making this 15-20°F anomaly plausible under high-confidence 500mb geopotential height rises, though 00z model runs tomorrow could shift odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 26?
66-67°F 17%
64-65°F 16%
68-69°F 14%
59°F or below 12.6%
$81,343 Vol.
$81,343 Vol.
59°F or below
13%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 17%
64-65°F 16%
68-69°F 14%
59°F or below 12.6%
$81,343 Vol.
$81,343 Vol.
59°F or below
13%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around mid-60s highs for Chicago's March 26 maximum temperature, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and NWS ensemble forecasts showing GFS and ECMWF models converging on 64-67°F peaks amid a building upper-level ridge fostering warm advection. Differentiating factors include timing of a weak cold front—potentially capping at 64-65°F if arriving midday versus 66-67°F with delayed onset—and variable cloud cover from lingering Great Lakes moisture, per SREF probabilistic outputs. Historical March 26 norms hover near 48°F, making this 15-20°F anomaly plausible under high-confidence 500mb geopotential height rises, though 00z model runs tomorrow could shift odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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