**Trader consensus at 100% for a 11°C high in Ankara on March 19 stems from converged forecasts across ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service models**, projecting a precise peak under cool northerly winds and lingering stratiform clouds capping daytime heating. Current observations from Ankara's Esenboğa station show morning lows near 5°C with dewpoints supporting only marginal warming, aligning with March climatology where highs average 11-13°C but skew lower amid this season's cold bias. Ensemble spreads remain tight at ±1°C, reflecting stable upper-air patterns. A challenge could arise from unexpected foehn-like downslope warming or rapid cloud dissipation, potentially adding 2°C if southerlies surge, though 24-hour guidance deems this improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on March 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 19?
11°C 100.0%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
2°C or below
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
2°C or below
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 15, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 11°C high in Ankara on March 19 stems from converged forecasts across ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service models**, projecting a precise peak under cool northerly winds and lingering stratiform clouds capping daytime heating. Current observations from Ankara's Esenboğa station show morning lows near 5°C with dewpoints supporting only marginal warming, aligning with March climatology where highs average 11-13°C but skew lower amid this season's cold bias. Ensemble spreads remain tight at ±1°C, reflecting stable upper-air patterns. A challenge could arise from unexpected foehn-like downslope warming or rapid cloud dissipation, potentially adding 2°C if southerlies surge, though 24-hour guidance deems this improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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